Recent MetService and AccuWeather guidance, aligned with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average August temperatures across the Wellington region, positions the daily maximum near the climatological norm of 14 °C. Short-range model consensus shows modest northerly flow and limited frontal activity through 9 August, supporting daytime highs of 13–15 °C while overnight minima remain in the single digits. Recent cooler readings (10 °C on 4 August) have been followed by gradual moderation, but a potential southerly change flagged for the 8–11 August window could cap the peak or introduce cloud and showers that limit warming. Trader emphasis on the 14 °C outcome therefore reflects the balance between established seasonal baselines and the narrow uncertainty range in current deterministic and ensemble forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 9?
14°C 62%
15°C 21%
13°C 17%
16°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
62%
15°C
21%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 62%
15°C 21%
13°C 17%
16°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
9°C or below
$328 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$241 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$185 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$277 Обс.
2%
13°C
$1,423 Обс.
17%
14°C
$509 Обс.
62%
15°C
$2,075 Обс.
21%
16°C
$169 Обс.
3%
17°C
$175 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$205 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$361 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and AccuWeather guidance, aligned with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average August temperatures across the Wellington region, positions the daily maximum near the climatological norm of 14 °C. Short-range model consensus shows modest northerly flow and limited frontal activity through 9 August, supporting daytime highs of 13–15 °C while overnight minima remain in the single digits. Recent cooler readings (10 °C on 4 August) have been followed by gradual moderation, but a potential southerly change flagged for the 8–11 August window could cap the peak or introduce cloud and showers that limit warming. Trader emphasis on the 14 °C outcome therefore reflects the balance between established seasonal baselines and the narrow uncertainty range in current deterministic and ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,949Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and AccuWeather guidance, aligned with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average August temperatures across the Wellington region, positions the daily maximum near the climatological norm of 14 °C. Short-range model consensus shows modest northerly flow and limited frontal activity through 9 August, supporting daytime highs of 13–15 °C while overnight minima remain in the single digits. Recent cooler readings (10 °C on 4 August) have been followed by gradual moderation, but a potential southerly change flagged for the 8–11 August window could cap the peak or introduce cloud and showers that limit warming. Trader emphasis on the 14 °C outcome therefore reflects the balance between established seasonal baselines and the narrow uncertainty range in current deterministic and ensemble forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,949Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and AccuWeather guidance, aligned with NIWA’s seasonal outlook for near-average August temperatures across the Wellington region, positions the daily maximum near the climatological norm of 14 °C. Short-range model consensus shows modest northerly flow and limited frontal activity through 9 August, supporting daytime highs of 13–15 °C while overnight minima remain in the single digits. Recent cooler readings (10 °C on 4 August) have been followed by gradual moderation, but a potential southerly change flagged for the 8–11 August window could cap the peak or introduce cloud and showers that limit warming. Trader emphasis on the 14 °C outcome therefore reflects the balance between established seasonal baselines and the narrow uncertainty range in current deterministic and ensemble forecasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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