Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent above-normal summer warmth, elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover allowing heat retention. With August 2026 already trending 1–2°C warmer than the 24°C climatological baseline for minimums, traders have concentrated probability on these outcomes as the most consistent with current guidance. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected in the short term to alter the pattern before resolution, though minor model spread keeps 24°C and 27°C as viable edges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 9?
26°C 76%
25°C 17%
24°C 13%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
13%
25°C
32%
26°C
60%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 76%
25°C 17%
24°C 13%
27°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
21°C or below
$41 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$41 Обс.
2%
23°C
$7 Обс.
5%
24°C
$7 Обс.
13%
25°C
$7 Обс.
32%
26°C
$12 Обс.
60%
27°C
$27 Обс.
8%
28°C
$7 Обс.
5%
29°C
$41 Обс.
1%
30°C
$17 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$17 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent above-normal summer warmth, elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover allowing heat retention. With August 2026 already trending 1–2°C warmer than the 24°C climatological baseline for minimums, traders have concentrated probability on these outcomes as the most consistent with current guidance. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected in the short term to alter the pattern before resolution, though minor model spread keeps 24°C and 27°C as viable edges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$225Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent above-normal summer warmth, elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover allowing heat retention. With August 2026 already trending 1–2°C warmer than the 24°C climatological baseline for minimums, traders have concentrated probability on these outcomes as the most consistent with current guidance. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected in the short term to alter the pattern before resolution, though minor model spread keeps 24°C and 27°C as viable edges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$225Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent above-normal summer warmth, elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover allowing heat retention. With August 2026 already trending 1–2°C warmer than the 24°C climatological baseline for minimums, traders have concentrated probability on these outcomes as the most consistent with current guidance. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected in the short term to alter the pattern before resolution, though minor model spread keeps 24°C and 27°C as viable edges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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