Current short-range forecasts for Wellington on August 7 center on daily highs of 12–13°C under northerly flow with possible showers, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Wellington’s early-August climatology features average maxima near 12°C, driven by frequent southerly maritime air masses and the city’s exposed coastal position. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for winter 2026 assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the lower North Island, with no strong signals for anomalous warmth or cold. Model consensus and recent guidance show limited upside potential beyond 14°C and negligible downside risk below 11°C given the expected wind regime and lack of strong cold-air advection. Final resolution will hinge on the highest official hourly or daily maximum recorded at the Wellington observing site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 7?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 7?
13°C 57%
12°C 24%
14°C 19%
10°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
3%
12°C
24%
13°C
57%
14°C
19%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 57%
12°C 24%
14°C 19%
10°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
7°C or below
$10 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$0 Обс.
1%
9°C
$10 Обс.
2%
10°C
$55 Обс.
3%
11°C
$0 Обс.
3%
12°C
$81 Обс.
24%
13°C
$32 Обс.
57%
14°C
$82 Обс.
19%
15°C
$0 Обс.
3%
16°C
$0 Обс.
2%
17°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts for Wellington on August 7 center on daily highs of 12–13°C under northerly flow with possible showers, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Wellington’s early-August climatology features average maxima near 12°C, driven by frequent southerly maritime air masses and the city’s exposed coastal position. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for winter 2026 assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the lower North Island, with no strong signals for anomalous warmth or cold. Model consensus and recent guidance show limited upside potential beyond 14°C and negligible downside risk below 11°C given the expected wind regime and lack of strong cold-air advection. Final resolution will hinge on the highest official hourly or daily maximum recorded at the Wellington observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$280Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts for Wellington on August 7 center on daily highs of 12–13°C under northerly flow with possible showers, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Wellington’s early-August climatology features average maxima near 12°C, driven by frequent southerly maritime air masses and the city’s exposed coastal position. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for winter 2026 assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the lower North Island, with no strong signals for anomalous warmth or cold. Model consensus and recent guidance show limited upside potential beyond 14°C and negligible downside risk below 11°C given the expected wind regime and lack of strong cold-air advection. Final resolution will hinge on the highest official hourly or daily maximum recorded at the Wellington observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$280Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts for Wellington on August 7 center on daily highs of 12–13°C under northerly flow with possible showers, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Wellington’s early-August climatology features average maxima near 12°C, driven by frequent southerly maritime air masses and the city’s exposed coastal position. NIWA’s seasonal outlook for winter 2026 assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures across the lower North Island, with no strong signals for anomalous warmth or cold. Model consensus and recent guidance show limited upside potential beyond 14°C and negligible downside risk below 11°C given the expected wind regime and lack of strong cold-air advection. Final resolution will hinge on the highest official hourly or daily maximum recorded at the Wellington observing site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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