Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5, supported by partial cloud cover, possible morning showers, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit afternoon heating. This cooling follows hotter conditions earlier in the week under a high-pressure ridge. The narrow spread between the 28°C (42.5%) and 29°C (47.5%) market outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak readings, which depend on the timing of any convective activity and precise surface observations. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but short-term variability in cloud fraction and advection keeps the two leading probabilities closely matched ahead of final daily reports.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 5?
29°C 47%
28°C 43%
27°C 7%
30°C 5.6%
$85,201 Обс.
$85,201 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
7%
28°C
43%
29°C
47%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 43%
27°C 7%
30°C 5.6%
$85,201 Обс.
$85,201 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
24°C or below
$12,100 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$5,365 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$12,146 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$8,191 Обс.
7%
28°C
$11,600 Обс.
43%
29°C
$13,436 Обс.
47%
30°C
$9,393 Обс.
6%
31°C
$5,783 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$2,742 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$1,275 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,170 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5, supported by partial cloud cover, possible morning showers, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit afternoon heating. This cooling follows hotter conditions earlier in the week under a high-pressure ridge. The narrow spread between the 28°C (42.5%) and 29°C (47.5%) market outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak readings, which depend on the timing of any convective activity and precise surface observations. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but short-term variability in cloud fraction and advection keeps the two leading probabilities closely matched ahead of final daily reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$85,201Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5, supported by partial cloud cover, possible morning showers, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit afternoon heating. This cooling follows hotter conditions earlier in the week under a high-pressure ridge. The narrow spread between the 28°C (42.5%) and 29°C (47.5%) market outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak readings, which depend on the timing of any convective activity and precise surface observations. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but short-term variability in cloud fraction and advection keeps the two leading probabilities closely matched ahead of final daily reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$85,201Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Paris on August 5, supported by partial cloud cover, possible morning showers, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit afternoon heating. This cooling follows hotter conditions earlier in the week under a high-pressure ridge. The narrow spread between the 28°C (42.5%) and 29°C (47.5%) market outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact peak readings, which depend on the timing of any convective activity and precise surface observations. Historical August averages near 25–26°C provide context, but short-term variability in cloud fraction and advection keeps the two leading probabilities closely matched ahead of final daily reports.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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