Current forecasts from multiple models place Munich's August 5 maximum near 33–34 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly flow and surface heating enhanced by clear morning conditions. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective development create the tight split between the two leading outcomes, as reduced insolation from scattered thunderstorms could cap the peak just below 34 °C while stronger mixing or delayed cloud cover would push it over. Official DWD station readings at the close of the diurnal cycle will resolve the market, with historical August variability in the region underscoring how small shifts in these thermodynamic factors routinely swing daily highs by 1–2 °C.