Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 project a daytime high near 25°C and overnight minimum of 14°C under continued warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Persistent high pressure has produced mild nights across southeast England, with recent minima often 1–2°C above long-term August averages of 13–14°C. Urban heat island effects in central London further support elevated lows, while ensemble models show low risk of significant cooling before the date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36% implied probability for exactly 14°C and combined 80%+ weighting on 13–15°C outcomes, aligns with these guidance trends and accounts for typical forecast spread in short-range temperature predictions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 7?
Lowest temperature in London on August 7?
14°C 37%
13°C 27%
15°C 22%
16°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
10°C or below
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
8%
13°C
29%
14°C
37%
15°C
23%
16°C
10%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
2%
14°C 37%
13°C 27%
15°C 22%
16°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
10°C or below
$11 Обс.
3%
11°C
$0 Обс.
7%
12°C
$0 Обс.
8%
13°C
$89 Обс.
29%
14°C
$76 Обс.
37%
15°C
$77 Обс.
23%
16°C
$23 Обс.
10%
17°C
$87 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$81 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$60 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$20 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 project a daytime high near 25°C and overnight minimum of 14°C under continued warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Persistent high pressure has produced mild nights across southeast England, with recent minima often 1–2°C above long-term August averages of 13–14°C. Urban heat island effects in central London further support elevated lows, while ensemble models show low risk of significant cooling before the date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36% implied probability for exactly 14°C and combined 80%+ weighting on 13–15°C outcomes, aligns with these guidance trends and accounts for typical forecast spread in short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$524Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 project a daytime high near 25°C and overnight minimum of 14°C under continued warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Persistent high pressure has produced mild nights across southeast England, with recent minima often 1–2°C above long-term August averages of 13–14°C. Urban heat island effects in central London further support elevated lows, while ensemble models show low risk of significant cooling before the date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36% implied probability for exactly 14°C and combined 80%+ weighting on 13–15°C outcomes, aligns with these guidance trends and accounts for typical forecast spread in short-range temperature predictions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$524Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 7 project a daytime high near 25°C and overnight minimum of 14°C under continued warm, humid conditions driven by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Persistent high pressure has produced mild nights across southeast England, with recent minima often 1–2°C above long-term August averages of 13–14°C. Urban heat island effects in central London further support elevated lows, while ensemble models show low risk of significant cooling before the date. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36% implied probability for exactly 14°C and combined 80%+ weighting on 13–15°C outcomes, aligns with these guidance trends and accounts for typical forecast spread in short-range temperature predictions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання