Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a maximum temperature of 80–81°F on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. Pre-event model consensus from the National Weather Service anticipated highs near 82°F under sunny skies, light northerly flow, and patchy wildfire smoke that suppressed insolation and limited afternoon warming. This outcome falls within typical early-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and onshore flow often cap temperatures below inland peaks. Revised forecasts incorporating real-time smoke and boundary-layer conditions shifted expectations downward slightly from initial guidance. Only an erroneous station reading, unrepresentative microclimate data, or reanalysis revision could alter resolution, though such discrepancies remain rare for this primary reporting site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seattle on August 4?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 4?
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$101,079 Обс.
$101,079 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$101,079 Обс.
$101,079 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
$18,751 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$20,901 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$25,107 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$11,468 Обс.
100%
82-83°F
$4,832 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$5,231 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$5,369 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$2,586 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$4,617 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$1,823 Обс.
<1%
94°F or higher
$393 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a maximum temperature of 80–81°F on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. Pre-event model consensus from the National Weather Service anticipated highs near 82°F under sunny skies, light northerly flow, and patchy wildfire smoke that suppressed insolation and limited afternoon warming. This outcome falls within typical early-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and onshore flow often cap temperatures below inland peaks. Revised forecasts incorporating real-time smoke and boundary-layer conditions shifted expectations downward slightly from initial guidance. Only an erroneous station reading, unrepresentative microclimate data, or reanalysis revision could alter resolution, though such discrepancies remain rare for this primary reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$101,079Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a maximum temperature of 80–81°F on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. Pre-event model consensus from the National Weather Service anticipated highs near 82°F under sunny skies, light northerly flow, and patchy wildfire smoke that suppressed insolation and limited afternoon warming. This outcome falls within typical early-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and onshore flow often cap temperatures below inland peaks. Revised forecasts incorporating real-time smoke and boundary-layer conditions shifted expectations downward slightly from initial guidance. Only an erroneous station reading, unrepresentative microclimate data, or reanalysis revision could alter resolution, though such discrepancies remain rare for this primary reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$101,079Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport recorded a maximum temperature of 80–81°F on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. Pre-event model consensus from the National Weather Service anticipated highs near 82°F under sunny skies, light northerly flow, and patchy wildfire smoke that suppressed insolation and limited afternoon warming. This outcome falls within typical early-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and onshore flow often cap temperatures below inland peaks. Revised forecasts incorporating real-time smoke and boundary-layer conditions shifted expectations downward slightly from initial guidance. Only an erroneous station reading, unrepresentative microclimate data, or reanalysis revision could alter resolution, though such discrepancies remain rare for this primary reporting site.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання