**Forecast models from MetService and other agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 8–9°C for Wellington on August 5, 2026, under a strong southerly flow with showers easing through the day and frost developing overnight.** This cooler-than-average reading—well below the typical August high near 12°C—stems from recent cold air advection and possible residual effects from earlier sleety showers and snow lowering to low elevations. Official guidance shows high consistency across runs, with daytime peaks limited by persistent southerlies and cloud cover, producing the overwhelming market consensus at 9°C. Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions if winds shift or if the official recording station (typically Wellington Aero) captures a brief spike near 10°C, though current model agreement and observed conditions make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 5?
9°C 99.8%
10°C <1%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
$178,932 Обс.
$178,932 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
100%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
9°C 99.8%
10°C <1%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
$178,932 Обс.
$178,932 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
3°C or below
$1,150 Обс.
<1%
4°C
$1,080 Обс.
<1%
5°C
$3,076 Обс.
<1%
6°C
$21,476 Обс.
<1%
7°C
$31,532 Обс.
<1%
8°C
$64,007 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$20,103 Обс.
100%
10°C
$17,535 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$11,549 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$4,041 Обс.
<1%
13°C or higher
$3,383 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and other agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 8–9°C for Wellington on August 5, 2026, under a strong southerly flow with showers easing through the day and frost developing overnight.**
This cooler-than-average reading—well below the typical August high near 12°C—stems from recent cold air advection and possible residual effects from earlier sleety showers and snow lowering to low elevations. Official guidance shows high consistency across runs, with daytime peaks limited by persistent southerlies and cloud cover, producing the overwhelming market consensus at 9°C.
Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions if winds shift or if the official recording station (typically Wellington Aero) captures a brief spike near 10°C, though current model agreement and observed conditions make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$178,932Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and other agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 8–9°C for Wellington on August 5, 2026, under a strong southerly flow with showers easing through the day and frost developing overnight.**
This cooler-than-average reading—well below the typical August high near 12°C—stems from recent cold air advection and possible residual effects from earlier sleety showers and snow lowering to low elevations. Official guidance shows high consistency across runs, with daytime peaks limited by persistent southerlies and cloud cover, producing the overwhelming market consensus at 9°C.
Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions if winds shift or if the official recording station (typically Wellington Aero) captures a brief spike near 10°C, though current model agreement and observed conditions make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$178,932Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from MetService and other agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 8–9°C for Wellington on August 5, 2026, under a strong southerly flow with showers easing through the day and frost developing overnight.** This cooler-than-average reading—well below the typical August high near 12°C—stems from recent cold air advection and possible residual effects from earlier sleety showers and snow lowering to low elevations. Official guidance shows high consistency across runs, with daytime peaks limited by persistent southerlies and cloud cover, producing the overwhelming market consensus at 9°C. Realistic challenges include minor forecast revisions if winds shift or if the official recording station (typically Wellington Aero) captures a brief spike near 10°C, though current model agreement and observed conditions make such outcomes improbable before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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