Latest official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature near 36°C on August 6 in Beijing, driven by southerly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits full solar heating while maintaining high humidity. Numerical models show modest spread around this value, with urban heat island effects and afternoon convective activity potentially adding or subtracting 1°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind shifts. Trader emphasis on 37°C and 38°C outcomes reflects awareness of these small-scale variables and historical precedent for brief spikes above seasonal averages near 31–32°C, even as broader August trends favor moderation after earlier heat. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 6?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 6?
37°C 37%
38°C 33%
39°C 16%
36°C 12%
НОВЕ
$22,884 Обс.
НОВЕ
$22,884 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
12%
37°C
37%
38°C
33%
39°C
16%
40°C or higher
1%
37°C 37%
38°C 33%
39°C 16%
36°C 12%
НОВЕ
$22,884 Обс.
НОВЕ
$22,884 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
$343 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$323 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$643 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$2,411 Обс.
1%
34°C
$1,703 Обс.
1%
35°C
$1,157 Обс.
3%
36°C
$7,154 Обс.
12%
37°C
$4,181 Обс.
37%
38°C
$2,139 Обс.
33%
39°C
$1,434 Обс.
16%
40°C or higher
$1,397 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature near 36°C on August 6 in Beijing, driven by southerly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits full solar heating while maintaining high humidity. Numerical models show modest spread around this value, with urban heat island effects and afternoon convective activity potentially adding or subtracting 1°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind shifts. Trader emphasis on 37°C and 38°C outcomes reflects awareness of these small-scale variables and historical precedent for brief spikes above seasonal averages near 31–32°C, even as broader August trends favor moderation after earlier heat. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,884Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature near 36°C on August 6 in Beijing, driven by southerly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits full solar heating while maintaining high humidity. Numerical models show modest spread around this value, with urban heat island effects and afternoon convective activity potentially adding or subtracting 1°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind shifts. Trader emphasis on 37°C and 38°C outcomes reflects awareness of these small-scale variables and historical precedent for brief spikes above seasonal averages near 31–32°C, even as broader August trends favor moderation after earlier heat. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$22,884Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature near 36°C on August 6 in Beijing, driven by southerly flow under partly cloudy skies that limits full solar heating while maintaining high humidity. Numerical models show modest spread around this value, with urban heat island effects and afternoon convective activity potentially adding or subtracting 1°C depending on exact cloud timing and wind shifts. Trader emphasis on 37°C and 38°C outcomes reflects awareness of these small-scale variables and historical precedent for brief spikes above seasonal averages near 31–32°C, even as broader August trends favor moderation after earlier heat. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання