A limited May 2026 outbreak of Andes hantavirus aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship produced 13 confirmed cases and three deaths before containment measures ended transmission. Official CDC and WHO monitoring through July confirmed no secondary spread beyond close contacts, with zero U.S. cases linked to repatriated passengers and the event formally declared over by early July. Andes virus remains the only hantavirus known for limited person-to-person transmission, which requires prolonged close contact rather than airborne or casual spread typical of pandemic pathogens. Routine rodent-reservoir surveillance and the absence of sustained chains of infection since containment support the market-implied 96.3 percent probability of no 2026 pandemic. A realistic shift would require either a new, larger rodent-driven outbreak with efficient human-to-human transmission or undetected community spread exceeding current epidemiological thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4% шанс
$17,820,644 Обс.
$17,820,644 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
4% шанс
$17,820,644 Обс.
$17,820,644 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A limited May 2026 outbreak of Andes hantavirus aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship produced 13 confirmed cases and three deaths before containment measures ended transmission. Official CDC and WHO monitoring through July confirmed no secondary spread beyond close contacts, with zero U.S. cases linked to repatriated passengers and the event formally declared over by early July. Andes virus remains the only hantavirus known for limited person-to-person transmission, which requires prolonged close contact rather than airborne or casual spread typical of pandemic pathogens. Routine rodent-reservoir surveillance and the absence of sustained chains of infection since containment support the market-implied 96.3 percent probability of no 2026 pandemic. A realistic shift would require either a new, larger rodent-driven outbreak with efficient human-to-human transmission or undetected community spread exceeding current epidemiological thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,820,644Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A limited May 2026 outbreak of Andes hantavirus aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship produced 13 confirmed cases and three deaths before containment measures ended transmission. Official CDC and WHO monitoring through July confirmed no secondary spread beyond close contacts, with zero U.S. cases linked to repatriated passengers and the event formally declared over by early July. Andes virus remains the only hantavirus known for limited person-to-person transmission, which requires prolonged close contact rather than airborne or casual spread typical of pandemic pathogens. Routine rodent-reservoir surveillance and the absence of sustained chains of infection since containment support the market-implied 96.3 percent probability of no 2026 pandemic. A realistic shift would require either a new, larger rodent-driven outbreak with efficient human-to-human transmission or undetected community spread exceeding current epidemiological thresholds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$17,820,644Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A limited May 2026 outbreak of Andes hantavirus aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship produced 13 confirmed cases and three deaths before containment measures ended transmission. Official CDC and WHO monitoring through July confirmed no secondary spread beyond close contacts, with zero U.S. cases linked to repatriated passengers and the event formally declared over by early July. Andes virus remains the only hantavirus known for limited person-to-person transmission, which requires prolonged close contact rather than airborne or casual spread typical of pandemic pathogens. Routine rodent-reservoir surveillance and the absence of sustained chains of infection since containment support the market-implied 96.3 percent probability of no 2026 pandemic. A realistic shift would require either a new, larger rodent-driven outbreak with efficient human-to-human transmission or undetected community spread exceeding current epidemiological thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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