Short-term forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 25–26 °C on August 17 under cloudy conditions with light winds, establishing the narrow market spread between those two leading outcomes. Differentiation hinges on the balance of radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could alter minimum temperatures by 1 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–27 °C, providing context for current trader consensus. Updated high-resolution model runs and official station observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the implied probabilities as resolution approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 17?
26°C 44%
25°C 36%
27°C 12%
23°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
36%
26°C
44%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 44%
25°C 36%
27°C 12%
23°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
$140 Обс.
1%
20°C
$140 Обс.
1%
21°C
$10 Обс.
1%
22°C
$145 Обс.
6%
23°C
$145 Обс.
8%
24°C
$134 Обс.
6%
25°C
$103 Обс.
36%
26°C
$189 Обс.
44%
27°C
$223 Обс.
12%
28°C
$43 Обс.
4%
29°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 25–26 °C on August 17 under cloudy conditions with light winds, establishing the narrow market spread between those two leading outcomes. Differentiation hinges on the balance of radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could alter minimum temperatures by 1 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–27 °C, providing context for current trader consensus. Updated high-resolution model runs and official station observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the implied probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,277Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 25–26 °C on August 17 under cloudy conditions with light winds, establishing the narrow market spread between those two leading outcomes. Differentiation hinges on the balance of radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could alter minimum temperatures by 1 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–27 °C, providing context for current trader consensus. Updated high-resolution model runs and official station observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the implied probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,277Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai overnight lows near 25–26 °C on August 17 under cloudy conditions with light winds, establishing the narrow market spread between those two leading outcomes. Differentiation hinges on the balance of radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and any weak frontal passage that could alter minimum temperatures by 1 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical lows of 25–27 °C, providing context for current trader consensus. Updated high-resolution model runs and official station observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine the implied probabilities as resolution approaches.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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