Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies as the main driver behind the tight clustering around 18–19°C for London’s minimum on August 17. Light winds and a stable maritime air mass limit mixing, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the low-level jet could prevent temperatures from falling below 18°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 14–16°C, yet current high-pressure dominance supports milder readings; model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes, with fresh guidance expected within 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 17?
Lowest temperature in London on August 17?
19°C 37%
18°C 31%
17°C 16%
20°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
31%
19°C
37%
20°C
13%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 37%
18°C 31%
17°C 16%
20°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
13°C or below
$74 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$59 Обс.
1%
15°C
$46 Обс.
1%
16°C
$49 Обс.
5%
17°C
$169 Обс.
16%
18°C
$2,227 Обс.
31%
19°C
$1,421 Обс.
37%
20°C
$1,141 Обс.
13%
21°C
$69 Обс.
3%
22°C
$309 Обс.
1%
23°C or higher
$85 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies as the main driver behind the tight clustering around 18–19°C for London’s minimum on August 17. Light winds and a stable maritime air mass limit mixing, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the low-level jet could prevent temperatures from falling below 18°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 14–16°C, yet current high-pressure dominance supports milder readings; model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes, with fresh guidance expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,649Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies as the main driver behind the tight clustering around 18–19°C for London’s minimum on August 17. Light winds and a stable maritime air mass limit mixing, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the low-level jet could prevent temperatures from falling below 18°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 14–16°C, yet current high-pressure dominance supports milder readings; model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes, with fresh guidance expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,649Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF guidance points to overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear skies as the main driver behind the tight clustering around 18–19°C for London’s minimum on August 17. Light winds and a stable maritime air mass limit mixing, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in the low-level jet could prevent temperatures from falling below 18°C. Historical August climatology shows typical minima near 14–16°C, yet current high-pressure dominance supports milder readings; model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture creates the narrow gap between the two leading outcomes, with fresh guidance expected within 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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