Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for London on August 16, with BBC guidance pointing to 17°C under sunny intervals and light northwesterly winds. These conditions follow a period of above-average warmth, with clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promoting moderate radiative cooling while London's urban heat island effect limits deeper drops. Ensemble models show low variability in this range, supporting trader consensus around 17–18°C as the most probable outcomes given typical summer nocturnal recovery and forecast confidence intervals. Resolution hinges on official overnight readings, with any late shifts in cloud cover or wind speed as the key variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 16?
Lowest temperature in London on August 16?
18°C 49%
17°C 32%
19°C 9%
16°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
32%
18°C
49%
19°C
9%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 49%
17°C 32%
19°C 9%
16°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
$219 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$368 Обс.
2%
16°C
$1,702 Обс.
6%
17°C
$2,516 Обс.
32%
18°C
$2,090 Обс.
49%
19°C
$815 Обс.
9%
20°C
$171 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$1,543 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$177 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$177 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$177 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for London on August 16, with BBC guidance pointing to 17°C under sunny intervals and light northwesterly winds. These conditions follow a period of above-average warmth, with clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promoting moderate radiative cooling while London's urban heat island effect limits deeper drops. Ensemble models show low variability in this range, supporting trader consensus around 17–18°C as the most probable outcomes given typical summer nocturnal recovery and forecast confidence intervals. Resolution hinges on official overnight readings, with any late shifts in cloud cover or wind speed as the key variables.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,955Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for London on August 16, with BBC guidance pointing to 17°C under sunny intervals and light northwesterly winds. These conditions follow a period of above-average warmth, with clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promoting moderate radiative cooling while London's urban heat island effect limits deeper drops. Ensemble models show low variability in this range, supporting trader consensus around 17–18°C as the most probable outcomes given typical summer nocturnal recovery and forecast confidence intervals. Resolution hinges on official overnight readings, with any late shifts in cloud cover or wind speed as the key variables.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,955Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for London on August 16, with BBC guidance pointing to 17°C under sunny intervals and light northwesterly winds. These conditions follow a period of above-average warmth, with clear to partly cloudy skies overnight promoting moderate radiative cooling while London's urban heat island effect limits deeper drops. Ensemble models show low variability in this range, supporting trader consensus around 17–18°C as the most probable outcomes given typical summer nocturnal recovery and forecast confidence intervals. Resolution hinges on official overnight readings, with any late shifts in cloud cover or wind speed as the key variables.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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