Current National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park project an overnight low near 69–72°F on August 16 under partly cloudy skies and light winds, consistent with late-summer climatology and the urban heat island effect. This consensus across model runs positions the 70–71°F bin as the modal outcome, with 72–73°F as a close secondary possibility if mixing remains limited. No significant frontal passages or atypical cooling mechanisms have emerged in recent guidance to alter the baseline range, keeping lower bins below 10% probability and higher outcomes unlikely absent unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling or model shifts. Updated NWS briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.