Recent official forecasts for Munich on August 15 point to a maximum temperature near 34–35 °C under sunny skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35 °C (52.5 %) and 34 °C (28.5 %) outcomes. Numerical weather models from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate.com currently converge on this range, driven by high pressure and warm-air advection above the seasonal August average of 23–25 °C. Minor model spreads and possible late-day showers introduce limited downside risk to 33 °C or below, while any further intensification of the ridge would be needed to reach 36 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 15?
35°C 53%
34°C 29%
36°C 13%
33°C 7%
НОВЕ
$16,046 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,046 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
29%
35°C
53%
36°C
13%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 53%
34°C 29%
36°C 13%
33°C 7%
НОВЕ
$16,046 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,046 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$226 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$175 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$692 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$1,144 Обс.
1%
33°C
$3,438 Обс.
7%
34°C
$3,496 Обс.
29%
35°C
$3,365 Обс.
53%
36°C
$1,601 Обс.
13%
37°C
$850 Обс.
1%
38°C
$629 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$430 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Munich on August 15 point to a maximum temperature near 34–35 °C under sunny skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35 °C (52.5 %) and 34 °C (28.5 %) outcomes. Numerical weather models from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate.com currently converge on this range, driven by high pressure and warm-air advection above the seasonal August average of 23–25 °C. Minor model spreads and possible late-day showers introduce limited downside risk to 33 °C or below, while any further intensification of the ridge would be needed to reach 36 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,046Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts for Munich on August 15 point to a maximum temperature near 34–35 °C under sunny skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35 °C (52.5 %) and 34 °C (28.5 %) outcomes. Numerical weather models from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate.com currently converge on this range, driven by high pressure and warm-air advection above the seasonal August average of 23–25 °C. Minor model spreads and possible late-day showers introduce limited downside risk to 33 °C or below, while any further intensification of the ridge would be needed to reach 36 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$16,046Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Munich on August 15 point to a maximum temperature near 34–35 °C under sunny skies and light southerly winds, aligning with the market’s leading 35 °C (52.5 %) and 34 °C (28.5 %) outcomes. Numerical weather models from sources such as the BBC and timeanddate.com currently converge on this range, driven by high pressure and warm-air advection above the seasonal August average of 23–25 °C. Minor model spreads and possible late-day showers introduce limited downside risk to 33 °C or below, while any further intensification of the ridge would be needed to reach 36 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the latest deterministic and ensemble guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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