Recent high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs show a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and subsidence warming that favor maximum temperatures of 38–39 °C in Paris on 14 August. Light winds and very low boundary-layer moisture limit evaporative cooling, while the urban heat-island effect in central Paris typically adds 1–2 °C above official station readings. Model consensus remains tight but acknowledges modest uncertainty from small variations in timing of any weak frontal moisture or boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution, aligning trader-implied odds with the current scientific guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 14?
39°C 42%
38°C 29%
40°C 12%
37°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
35°C or below
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
7%
38°C
29%
39°C
42%
40°C
12%
41°C
4%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 42%
38°C 29%
40°C 12%
37°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
35°C or below
$12 Обс.
1%
36°C
$15 Обс.
2%
37°C
$0 Обс.
7%
38°C
$55 Обс.
29%
39°C
$63 Обс.
42%
40°C
$0 Обс.
12%
41°C
$0 Обс.
4%
42°C
$33 Обс.
1%
43°C
$12 Обс.
1%
44°C
$12 Обс.
<1%
45°C or higher
$12 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs show a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and subsidence warming that favor maximum temperatures of 38–39 °C in Paris on 14 August. Light winds and very low boundary-layer moisture limit evaporative cooling, while the urban heat-island effect in central Paris typically adds 1–2 °C above official station readings. Model consensus remains tight but acknowledges modest uncertainty from small variations in timing of any weak frontal moisture or boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution, aligning trader-implied odds with the current scientific guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$215Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs show a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and subsidence warming that favor maximum temperatures of 38–39 °C in Paris on 14 August. Light winds and very low boundary-layer moisture limit evaporative cooling, while the urban heat-island effect in central Paris typically adds 1–2 °C above official station readings. Model consensus remains tight but acknowledges modest uncertainty from small variations in timing of any weak frontal moisture or boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution, aligning trader-implied odds with the current scientific guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$215Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs show a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and subsidence warming that favor maximum temperatures of 38–39 °C in Paris on 14 August. Light winds and very low boundary-layer moisture limit evaporative cooling, while the urban heat-island effect in central Paris typically adds 1–2 °C above official station readings. Model consensus remains tight but acknowledges modest uncertainty from small variations in timing of any weak frontal moisture or boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution, aligning trader-implied odds with the current scientific guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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