Subtropical monsoon conditions in mid-August typically produce Shanghai overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Recent forecast runs from models tracking the East Asian summer monsoon and local humidity levels support minimum temperatures in this narrow band, with elevated moisture and possible heavy rainfall on or near August 14 moderating daytime heat while limiting radiative cooling at night. Historical climatology shows late-summer lows rarely drop below 24°C absent unusual cold-air intrusions, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below at minimal implied odds. Updated guidance expected from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 14?
26°C 42%
27°C 30%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
5%
25°C
11%
26°C
42%
27°C
30%
28°C
10%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 30%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$45 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$25 Обс.
1%
23°C
$31 Обс.
5%
24°C
$25 Обс.
5%
25°C
$20 Обс.
11%
26°C
$46 Обс.
42%
27°C
$20 Обс.
30%
28°C
$50 Обс.
10%
29°C
$68 Обс.
8%
30°C or higher
$53 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Subtropical monsoon conditions in mid-August typically produce Shanghai overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Recent forecast runs from models tracking the East Asian summer monsoon and local humidity levels support minimum temperatures in this narrow band, with elevated moisture and possible heavy rainfall on or near August 14 moderating daytime heat while limiting radiative cooling at night. Historical climatology shows late-summer lows rarely drop below 24°C absent unusual cold-air intrusions, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below at minimal implied odds. Updated guidance expected from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$418Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Subtropical monsoon conditions in mid-August typically produce Shanghai overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Recent forecast runs from models tracking the East Asian summer monsoon and local humidity levels support minimum temperatures in this narrow band, with elevated moisture and possible heavy rainfall on or near August 14 moderating daytime heat while limiting radiative cooling at night. Historical climatology shows late-summer lows rarely drop below 24°C absent unusual cold-air intrusions, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below at minimal implied odds. Updated guidance expected from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$418Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Subtropical monsoon conditions in mid-August typically produce Shanghai overnight lows of 25–27°C, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward 26°C and 27°C outcomes. Recent forecast runs from models tracking the East Asian summer monsoon and local humidity levels support minimum temperatures in this narrow band, with elevated moisture and possible heavy rainfall on or near August 14 moderating daytime heat while limiting radiative cooling at night. Historical climatology shows late-summer lows rarely drop below 24°C absent unusual cold-air intrusions, keeping lower-probability outcomes like 23°C or below at minimal implied odds. Updated guidance expected from regional meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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