Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
29°C 47%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
31°C 4%
НОВЕ
$10,843 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,843 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
27%
29°C
47%
30°C
20%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
31°C 4%
НОВЕ
$10,843 Обс.
НОВЕ
$10,843 Обс.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$599 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$643 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$348 Обс.
1%
27°C
$1,128 Обс.
3%
28°C
$2,249 Обс.
27%
29°C
$2,035 Обс.
47%
30°C
$1,665 Обс.
20%
31°C
$1,053 Обс.
4%
32°C
$259 Обс.
1%
33°C
$537 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$328 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,843Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$10,843Дата завершення
Aug 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Shanghai's August 12 maximum temperature will likely settle near 29°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions with moderate solar insolation, high humidity, and scattered cloud cover or light rain suppressing extremes. Trader consensus around 28–30°C aligns with historical August averages of 30–32°C at urban stations, modulated by urban heat island effects and potential easterly flow or weak frontal influences. Recent model runs highlight cooling from intermittent precipitation, consistent with the season's typhoon-driven rainfall patterns that have already produced several days above 35°C earlier in the month but trend milder mid-month. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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