Latest Met Office and ensemble model runs position a 25–26°C peak as the most probable outcome for London on August 11, reflecting high-pressure influence and southerly flow of warmer air that has kept recent days near or above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes scenarios for slightly cooler readings if increased cloud or a quicker Atlantic front arrives, while drier conditions could allow isolated spots to edge toward 27°C. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 11?
Highest temperature in London on August 11?
25°C 44%
26°C 26%
24°C 22%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
44%
26°C
26%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 44%
26°C 26%
24°C 22%
27°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$22 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$90 Обс.
1%
23°C
$127 Обс.
2%
24°C
$110 Обс.
22%
25°C
$333 Обс.
44%
26°C
$155 Обс.
26%
27°C
$72 Обс.
10%
28°C
$15 Обс.
2%
29°C
$27 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$22 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ensemble model runs position a 25–26°C peak as the most probable outcome for London on August 11, reflecting high-pressure influence and southerly flow of warmer air that has kept recent days near or above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes scenarios for slightly cooler readings if increased cloud or a quicker Atlantic front arrives, while drier conditions could allow isolated spots to edge toward 27°C. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$983Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ensemble model runs position a 25–26°C peak as the most probable outcome for London on August 11, reflecting high-pressure influence and southerly flow of warmer air that has kept recent days near or above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes scenarios for slightly cooler readings if increased cloud or a quicker Atlantic front arrives, while drier conditions could allow isolated spots to edge toward 27°C. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$983Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ensemble model runs position a 25–26°C peak as the most probable outcome for London on August 11, reflecting high-pressure influence and southerly flow of warmer air that has kept recent days near or above seasonal norms. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes scenarios for slightly cooler readings if increased cloud or a quicker Atlantic front arrives, while drier conditions could allow isolated spots to edge toward 27°C. Historical August maxima average near 22°C, so current guidance represents a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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