Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, positioning Paris for a peak temperature of 33–34°C on August 9 under mostly sunny skies. This drives the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime insolation and modest uncertainties from increasing afternoon cloud cover or slight timing shifts in the thermal maximum. Historical August climatology shows Paris averages near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly consistent with the broader European heat pattern. Key upcoming data points include the next high-resolution model runs and any updated Météo-France vigilance bulletins that could refine cloud and wind details before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 9?
34°C 32%
33°C 28%
32°C 16%
35°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
16%
33°C
28%
34°C
32%
35°C
15%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
4%
34°C 32%
33°C 28%
32°C 16%
35°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
$352 Обс.
1%
29°C
$12 Обс.
1%
30°C
$12 Обс.
2%
31°C
$65 Обс.
7%
32°C
$10 Обс.
16%
33°C
$45 Обс.
28%
34°C
$113 Обс.
32%
35°C
$0 Обс.
15%
36°C
$25 Обс.
2%
37°C
$19 Обс.
1%
38°C or higher
$25 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, positioning Paris for a peak temperature of 33–34°C on August 9 under mostly sunny skies. This drives the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime insolation and modest uncertainties from increasing afternoon cloud cover or slight timing shifts in the thermal maximum. Historical August climatology shows Paris averages near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly consistent with the broader European heat pattern. Key upcoming data points include the next high-resolution model runs and any updated Météo-France vigilance bulletins that could refine cloud and wind details before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$678Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, positioning Paris for a peak temperature of 33–34°C on August 9 under mostly sunny skies. This drives the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime insolation and modest uncertainties from increasing afternoon cloud cover or slight timing shifts in the thermal maximum. Historical August climatology shows Paris averages near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly consistent with the broader European heat pattern. Key upcoming data points include the next high-resolution model runs and any updated Météo-France vigilance bulletins that could refine cloud and wind details before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$678Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection over western Europe, positioning Paris for a peak temperature of 33–34°C on August 9 under mostly sunny skies. This drives the near-even market split between those two outcomes, as traders weigh the balance between strong daytime insolation and modest uncertainties from increasing afternoon cloud cover or slight timing shifts in the thermal maximum. Historical August climatology shows Paris averages near 26°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly consistent with the broader European heat pattern. Key upcoming data points include the next high-resolution model runs and any updated Météo-France vigilance bulletins that could refine cloud and wind details before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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