Recent official guidance from Météo-France highlights a cooldown in Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs around 25–26°C expected for August 7 as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures after earlier warmth. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, favoring values near the seasonal climatological average of 24–26°C while allowing room for slight upward revisions if daytime heating strengthens under clearer skies. This positions the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and typical Paris summer variability rather than heat-wave conditions. No major blocking patterns or tropical influences are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C or higher low and aligning with stable, near-normal late-summer dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 7?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 7?
27°C 49%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
49%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
23°C or below
$9 Обс.
2%
24°C
$9 Обс.
2%
25°C
$77 Обс.
4%
26°C
$34 Обс.
19%
27°C
$320 Обс.
49%
28°C
$103 Обс.
27%
29°C
$69 Обс.
5%
30°C
$16 Обс.
2%
31°C
$17 Обс.
1%
32°C
$10 Обс.
1%
33°C or higher
$15 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Météo-France highlights a cooldown in Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs around 25–26°C expected for August 7 as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures after earlier warmth. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, favoring values near the seasonal climatological average of 24–26°C while allowing room for slight upward revisions if daytime heating strengthens under clearer skies. This positions the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and typical Paris summer variability rather than heat-wave conditions. No major blocking patterns or tropical influences are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C or higher low and aligning with stable, near-normal late-summer dynamics.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$675Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Météo-France highlights a cooldown in Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs around 25–26°C expected for August 7 as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures after earlier warmth. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, favoring values near the seasonal climatological average of 24–26°C while allowing room for slight upward revisions if daytime heating strengthens under clearer skies. This positions the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and typical Paris summer variability rather than heat-wave conditions. No major blocking patterns or tropical influences are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C or higher low and aligning with stable, near-normal late-summer dynamics.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$675Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from Météo-France highlights a cooldown in Île-de-France, with largely sunny conditions and afternoon highs around 25–26°C expected for August 7 as cooler Atlantic air moderates temperatures after earlier warmth. Ensemble forecasts show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, favoring values near the seasonal climatological average of 24–26°C while allowing room for slight upward revisions if daytime heating strengthens under clearer skies. This positions the 27°C and 28°C outcomes as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus and typical Paris summer variability rather than heat-wave conditions. No major blocking patterns or tropical influences are indicated in current guidance, keeping probabilities for 29°C or higher low and aligning with stable, near-normal late-summer dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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