Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 7 maximum near the long-term August average of 28–30 °C, with ensemble spreads producing closely matched market-implied odds across 27–30 °C. Local factors driving this tight distribution include moderating influences from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, variable northeasterly winds, and potential afternoon cloud development that can limit peak heating by 1–3 °C. Short-range guidance shows modest warming potential from southerly flow but also uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any seabreeze front. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine whether the daily high settles in the upper or lower half of the current favored range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 7?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 7?
28°C 35%
29°C 20%
30°C 17%
27°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
16%
28°C
35%
29°C
20%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
7%
28°C 35%
29°C 20%
30°C 17%
27°C 16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$178 Обс.
8%
27°C
$30 Обс.
16%
28°C
$41 Обс.
35%
29°C
$30 Обс.
20%
30°C
$46 Обс.
17%
31°C
$27 Обс.
3%
32°C
$0 Обс.
7%
33°C
$0 Обс.
6%
34°C or higher
$0 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 7 maximum near the long-term August average of 28–30 °C, with ensemble spreads producing closely matched market-implied odds across 27–30 °C. Local factors driving this tight distribution include moderating influences from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, variable northeasterly winds, and potential afternoon cloud development that can limit peak heating by 1–3 °C. Short-range guidance shows modest warming potential from southerly flow but also uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any seabreeze front. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine whether the daily high settles in the upper or lower half of the current favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$352Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 7 maximum near the long-term August average of 28–30 °C, with ensemble spreads producing closely matched market-implied odds across 27–30 °C. Local factors driving this tight distribution include moderating influences from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, variable northeasterly winds, and potential afternoon cloud development that can limit peak heating by 1–3 °C. Short-range guidance shows modest warming potential from southerly flow but also uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any seabreeze front. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine whether the daily high settles in the upper or lower half of the current favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$352Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models place Istanbul's August 7 maximum near the long-term August average of 28–30 °C, with ensemble spreads producing closely matched market-implied odds across 27–30 °C. Local factors driving this tight distribution include moderating influences from the adjacent Black Sea and Sea of Marmara, variable northeasterly winds, and potential afternoon cloud development that can limit peak heating by 1–3 °C. Short-range guidance shows modest warming potential from southerly flow but also uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any seabreeze front. Updated runs from ECMWF and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine whether the daily high settles in the upper or lower half of the current favored range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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