Current forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models positions 27–28°C as the leading minimum temperature outcomes for Seoul/Incheon on August 7, reflecting trader-implied probabilities of 41% and 56%. Persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies are sustaining hot, humid conditions with daytime highs near 35–37°C and limited overnight radiative cooling, consistent with typical early-August climatology. No significant frontal passages or typhoon influences are expected in the next 48 hours to alter this pattern. Updated short-range model runs and official KMA briefings over the coming days will provide the key data shifts that could refine these market-implied odds.