Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with official warnings in effect for Seoul and Incheon on August 6, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures and produced the tight market split between 27°C (43.5%) and 28°C (38.0%). Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and elevated daytime heat combine with high humidity to limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in the Seoul-Incheon corridor further raises baselines. Incheon’s coastal location provides slight marine moderation compared with inland Seoul. KMA short-range guidance and ensemble models show consensus around 26–28°C lows, with limited spread; traders weigh small forecast shifts in wind or cloud cover that could tip the outcome between the two leading resolutions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 6?
27°C 44%
28°C 38%
29°C 6%
26°C 5%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
44%
28°C
38%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
28°C 38%
29°C 6%
26°C 5%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
44%
28°C
38%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heatwave conditions across South Korea, with official warnings in effect for Seoul and Incheon on August 6, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures and produced the tight market split between 27°C (43.5%) and 28°C (38.0%). Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and elevated daytime heat combine with high humidity to limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect in the Seoul-Incheon corridor further raises baselines. Incheon’s coastal location provides slight marine moderation compared with inland Seoul. KMA short-range guidance and ensemble models show consensus around 26–28°C lows, with limited spread; traders weigh small forecast shifts in wind or cloud cover that could tip the outcome between the two leading resolutions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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