Current National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a typical late-summer marine layer will keep San Francisco’s August 6 high near 70–73 °F, with the 72–73 °F bin holding the highest implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow inversion limit daytime warming despite regional heat, while any thinning of the stratus or slight offshore shift could allow the mercury to reach the mid-70s. Historical August maxima at the official KSFO station average 69–70 °F, so today’s forecasts represent modest positive departures that traders appear to have already priced in. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 6?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 6?
72-73°F 33%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
33%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 33%
70-71°F 25%
74-75°F 20%
68-69°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
65°F or below
$63 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$35 Обс.
3%
68-69°F
$43 Обс.
11%
70-71°F
$537 Обс.
25%
72-73°F
$11 Обс.
33%
74-75°F
$220 Обс.
20%
76-77°F
$67 Обс.
10%
78-79°F
$49 Обс.
4%
80-81°F
$71 Обс.
3%
82-83°F
$272 Обс.
1%
84°F or higher
$481 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a typical late-summer marine layer will keep San Francisco’s August 6 high near 70–73 °F, with the 72–73 °F bin holding the highest implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow inversion limit daytime warming despite regional heat, while any thinning of the stratus or slight offshore shift could allow the mercury to reach the mid-70s. Historical August maxima at the official KSFO station average 69–70 °F, so today’s forecasts represent modest positive departures that traders appear to have already priced in. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,848Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a typical late-summer marine layer will keep San Francisco’s August 6 high near 70–73 °F, with the 72–73 °F bin holding the highest implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow inversion limit daytime warming despite regional heat, while any thinning of the stratus or slight offshore shift could allow the mercury to reach the mid-70s. Historical August maxima at the official KSFO station average 69–70 °F, so today’s forecasts represent modest positive departures that traders appear to have already priced in. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,848Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a typical late-summer marine layer will keep San Francisco’s August 6 high near 70–73 °F, with the 72–73 °F bin holding the highest implied probability. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow inversion limit daytime warming despite regional heat, while any thinning of the stratus or slight offshore shift could allow the mercury to reach the mid-70s. Historical August maxima at the official KSFO station average 69–70 °F, so today’s forecasts represent modest positive departures that traders appear to have already priced in. Updated short-range model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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