Recent forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those brackets. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, early-August highs typically average 30–32°C under prevailing southerly flow and high humidity; observed maxima of 29–31°C over the prior two days reflect stable conditions without typhoon influence or anomalous ridging. Ensemble runs show modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover, though coastal sea breezes and possible afternoon showers could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Resolution will hinge on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the primary station, with no major model disagreement currently shifting trader positioning away from the 33–34°C cluster.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 6?
34°C 40%
33°C 27%
32°C 12%
35°C 8.2%
НОВЕ
$49,536 Обс.
НОВЕ
$49,536 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
12%
33°C
27%
34°C
40%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 40%
33°C 27%
32°C 12%
35°C 8.2%
НОВЕ
$49,536 Обс.
НОВЕ
$49,536 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
28°C or below
$1,435 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,063 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$2,951 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$6,297 Обс.
3%
32°C
$2,060 Обс.
12%
33°C
$9,171 Обс.
27%
34°C
$4,414 Обс.
40%
35°C
$10,349 Обс.
8%
36°C
$5,376 Обс.
3%
37°C
$1,981 Обс.
1%
38°C or higher
$3,440 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those brackets. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, early-August highs typically average 30–32°C under prevailing southerly flow and high humidity; observed maxima of 29–31°C over the prior two days reflect stable conditions without typhoon influence or anomalous ridging. Ensemble runs show modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover, though coastal sea breezes and possible afternoon showers could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Resolution will hinge on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the primary station, with no major model disagreement currently shifting trader positioning away from the 33–34°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$49,536Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those brackets. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, early-August highs typically average 30–32°C under prevailing southerly flow and high humidity; observed maxima of 29–31°C over the prior two days reflect stable conditions without typhoon influence or anomalous ridging. Ensemble runs show modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover, though coastal sea breezes and possible afternoon showers could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Resolution will hinge on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the primary station, with no major model disagreement currently shifting trader positioning away from the 33–34°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$49,536Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and model guidance point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 6, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for those brackets. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, early-August highs typically average 30–32°C under prevailing southerly flow and high humidity; observed maxima of 29–31°C over the prior two days reflect stable conditions without typhoon influence or anomalous ridging. Ensemble runs show modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover, though coastal sea breezes and possible afternoon showers could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Resolution will hinge on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the primary station, with no major model disagreement currently shifting trader positioning away from the 33–34°C cluster.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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