Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
33°C 46%
34°C 31%
32°C 17%
35°C 6%
НОВЕ
$17,869 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,869 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
17%
33°C
46%
34°C
31%
35°C
6%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 46%
34°C 31%
32°C 17%
35°C 6%
НОВЕ
$17,869 Обс.
НОВЕ
$17,869 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
27°C or below
$253 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$470 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$792 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$1,053 Обс.
1%
31°C
$2,393 Обс.
4%
32°C
$3,752 Обс.
17%
33°C
$1,909 Обс.
46%
34°C
$3,345 Обс.
31%
35°C
$2,093 Обс.
6%
36°C
$986 Обс.
1%
37°C or higher
$823 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$17,869Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$17,869Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms across Shanghai on August 6, which limit surface solar heating and cap daytime maxima near 33°C. These conditions align with the market's emphasis on 33°C (47%) and 34°C (30.5%) as leading outcomes, reflecting typical August subtropical patterns where monsoon moisture and variable steering flows suppress temperatures below seasonal peaks. Model consensus shows only modest warming potential if skies clear earlier than expected, supporting the narrower probabilities for 32°C or 35°C while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 36°C unlikely given current observational trends and climatological baselines. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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