Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, aligning with the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer heat under subtropical high pressure, combined with high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, supports overnight lows in this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 25–28°C. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to drive further cooling. A sudden shift in upper-level dynamics or unforecast heavy precipitation could lower readings toward 26°C, though current ensemble agreement leaves little room for such deviation before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 5?
27°C 96%
26°C 2.8%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,568 Обс.
$33,568 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
96%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 96%
26°C 2.8%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,568 Обс.
$33,568 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$1,016 Обс.
1%
23°C
$1,672 Обс.
1%
24°C
$3,142 Обс.
1%
25°C
$2,750 Обс.
1%
26°C
$1,865 Обс.
3%
27°C
$4,565 Обс.
96%
28°C
$3,577 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$9,246 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$2,871 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$512 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$2,353 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, aligning with the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer heat under subtropical high pressure, combined with high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, supports overnight lows in this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 25–28°C. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to drive further cooling. A sudden shift in upper-level dynamics or unforecast heavy precipitation could lower readings toward 26°C, though current ensemble agreement leaves little room for such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,568Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, aligning with the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer heat under subtropical high pressure, combined with high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, supports overnight lows in this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 25–28°C. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to drive further cooling. A sudden shift in upper-level dynamics or unforecast heavy precipitation could lower readings toward 26°C, though current ensemble agreement leaves little room for such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$33,568Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 27°C in Shanghai on August 5, aligning with the market's overwhelming 95.5% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent summer heat under subtropical high pressure, combined with high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, supports overnight lows in this range, consistent with climatological August averages of 25–28°C. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns without significant frontal passages or typhoon influences to drive further cooling. A sudden shift in upper-level dynamics or unforecast heavy precipitation could lower readings toward 26°C, though current ensemble agreement leaves little room for such deviation before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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