Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C under persistent cloud cover and high humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon. Limited radiative cooling from trapped moisture and the urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River Delta region support these values, aligning with historical August baselines around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show minor cooling potential from scattered showers, which traders appear to weigh against warmer guidance favoring 29°C. This distribution of implied probabilities reflects genuine forecast spread ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 6?
28°C 47%
27°C 25%
29°C 21%
26°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
21%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 47%
27°C 25%
29°C 21%
26°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$10 Обс.
1%
23°C
$15 Обс.
1%
24°C
$57 Обс.
1%
25°C
$18 Обс.
3%
26°C
$22 Обс.
6%
27°C
$32 Обс.
25%
28°C
$255 Обс.
47%
29°C
$145 Обс.
21%
30°C
$57 Обс.
1%
31°C
$10 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$10 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C under persistent cloud cover and high humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon. Limited radiative cooling from trapped moisture and the urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River Delta region support these values, aligning with historical August baselines around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show minor cooling potential from scattered showers, which traders appear to weigh against warmer guidance favoring 29°C. This distribution of implied probabilities reflects genuine forecast spread ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$633Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C under persistent cloud cover and high humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon. Limited radiative cooling from trapped moisture and the urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River Delta region support these values, aligning with historical August baselines around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show minor cooling potential from scattered showers, which traders appear to weigh against warmer guidance favoring 29°C. This distribution of implied probabilities reflects genuine forecast spread ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$633Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 6 will likely settle near 27–28°C under persistent cloud cover and high humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon. Limited radiative cooling from trapped moisture and the urban heat island effect in the Yangtze River Delta region support these values, aligning with historical August baselines around 26–29°C. Recent model runs show minor cooling potential from scattered showers, which traders appear to weigh against warmer guidance favoring 29°C. This distribution of implied probabilities reflects genuine forecast spread ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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