Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 6?
Highest temperature in London on August 6?
23°C 45%
24°C 28%
22°C 25%
25°C 4%
НОВЕ
$19,199 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,199 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
25%
23°C
45%
24°C
28%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 28%
22°C 25%
25°C 4%
НОВЕ
$19,199 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,199 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
19°C or below
$3,183 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$1,563 Обс.
2%
21°C
$2,150 Обс.
3%
22°C
$2,752 Обс.
25%
23°C
$3,671 Обс.
45%
24°C
$1,299 Обс.
28%
25°C
$1,257 Обс.
4%
26°C
$773 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$862 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$501 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,187 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,199Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$19,199Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after a mid-week heat spike positions 23°C as the frontrunner for London's August 6 maximum, with Met Office and ensemble forecasts converging on highs of 22–24°C under building high pressure and moderating Atlantic flow. Trader probabilities (46% for 23°C, 25.5% for 24°C, 24.5% for 22°C) mirror this consensus, as models show limited diurnal heating and only modest recovery potential. Typical early-August climatology centers near 22–23°C, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky amplification reduces odds of exceeding 25°C. Updated model runs and overnight observations will refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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