Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C in London on August 6, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions with light winds, possible scattered cloud, and a brief shower risk limiting radiative cooling. London’s urban heat island effect typically raises nighttime lows by 1–3°C above rural baselines, while August climatology shows average minima around 13°C. Recent warm days with highs near 29°C have transitioned to more moderate patterns, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on 14–15°C outcomes as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 6?
Lowest temperature in London on August 6?
15°C 51%
14°C 31%
16°C 12%
13°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
31%
15°C
51%
16°C
12%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 51%
14°C 31%
16°C 12%
13°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
10°C or below
$40 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$130 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$175 Обс.
1%
13°C
$127 Обс.
7%
14°C
$573 Обс.
31%
15°C
$1,352 Обс.
51%
16°C
$164 Обс.
12%
17°C
$175 Обс.
2%
18°C
$118 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
20°C or higher
$34 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C in London on August 6, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions with light winds, possible scattered cloud, and a brief shower risk limiting radiative cooling. London’s urban heat island effect typically raises nighttime lows by 1–3°C above rural baselines, while August climatology shows average minima around 13°C. Recent warm days with highs near 29°C have transitioned to more moderate patterns, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on 14–15°C outcomes as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,918Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C in London on August 6, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions with light winds, possible scattered cloud, and a brief shower risk limiting radiative cooling. London’s urban heat island effect typically raises nighttime lows by 1–3°C above rural baselines, while August climatology shows average minima around 13°C. Recent warm days with highs near 29°C have transitioned to more moderate patterns, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on 14–15°C outcomes as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,918Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a minimum temperature near 14–15°C in London on August 6, 2026, driven by mild overnight conditions with light winds, possible scattered cloud, and a brief shower risk limiting radiative cooling. London’s urban heat island effect typically raises nighttime lows by 1–3°C above rural baselines, while August climatology shows average minima around 13°C. Recent warm days with highs near 29°C have transitioned to more moderate patterns, keeping trader-implied probabilities concentrated on 14–15°C outcomes as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання