**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects current forecast model runs and climatological patterns for the region during peak summer monsoon conditions. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services projects daytime highs near 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F), with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover limiting further warming. These conditions align with historical August averages of 33–35°C and typical steering patterns that prevent extreme heat buildup. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected subsidence under clearer skies or a delayed storm track allowing brief radiative heating, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Conversely, heavier convective activity or earlier sea-breeze effects could cap the peak below 35°C. As of the resolution window, the market-implied odds capture the narrow uncertainty band around official temperature observations, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 5?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 5?
35°C 99%
36°C 2%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$80,202 Обс.
$80,202 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99%
36°C 2%
37°C <1%
38°C or higher <1%
$80,202 Обс.
$80,202 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
28°C or below
$279 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$407 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$814 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$2,297 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$8,419 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$6,978 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$17,977 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$11,069 Обс.
99%
36°C
$8,643 Обс.
2%
37°C
$11,423 Обс.
1%
38°C or higher
$11,896 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects current forecast model runs and climatological patterns for the region during peak summer monsoon conditions. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services projects daytime highs near 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F), with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover limiting further warming. These conditions align with historical August averages of 33–35°C and typical steering patterns that prevent extreme heat buildup.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected subsidence under clearer skies or a delayed storm track allowing brief radiative heating, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Conversely, heavier convective activity or earlier sea-breeze effects could cap the peak below 35°C. As of the resolution window, the market-implied odds capture the narrow uncertainty band around official temperature observations, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$80,202Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects current forecast model runs and climatological patterns for the region during peak summer monsoon conditions. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services projects daytime highs near 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F), with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover limiting further warming. These conditions align with historical August averages of 33–35°C and typical steering patterns that prevent extreme heat buildup.
Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected subsidence under clearer skies or a delayed storm track allowing brief radiative heating, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Conversely, heavier convective activity or earlier sea-breeze effects could cap the peak below 35°C. As of the resolution window, the market-implied odds capture the narrow uncertainty band around official temperature observations, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$80,202Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a daily maximum of 35°C in Guangzhou on August 5, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This reflects current forecast model runs and climatological patterns for the region during peak summer monsoon conditions. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and local meteorological services projects daytime highs near 32–35°C (roughly 90–95°F), with high humidity, scattered thunderstorms, and cloud cover limiting further warming. These conditions align with historical August averages of 33–35°C and typical steering patterns that prevent extreme heat buildup. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include stronger-than-expected subsidence under clearer skies or a delayed storm track allowing brief radiative heating, potentially pushing readings to 36°C. Conversely, heavier convective activity or earlier sea-breeze effects could cap the peak below 35°C. As of the resolution window, the market-implied odds capture the narrow uncertainty band around official temperature observations, with only marginal probabilities assigned to outliers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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