Official measurements from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a daily maximum of 72–73°F on August 4, 2026, aligning with August climatology of highs near 69–70°F and recent model guidance that kept the Bay Area under a moderating marine layer. This outcome achieved market consensus because post-event data confirmed the reading with negligible uncertainty, unlike pre-event forecasts that allowed for modest warming from a shifting high-pressure system. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare late revisions in official climatological reports or station-specific anomalies, though historical NWS processes make such shifts highly improbable once preliminary values are published.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 4?
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$49,609 Обс.
$49,609 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
100%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$49,609 Обс.
$49,609 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
67°F or below
$1,466 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,628 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$5,995 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$10,052 Обс.
100%
74-75°F
$3,759 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$6,498 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,171 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$5,267 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,037 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$4,417 Обс.
<1%
86°F or higher
$2,319 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a daily maximum of 72–73°F on August 4, 2026, aligning with August climatology of highs near 69–70°F and recent model guidance that kept the Bay Area under a moderating marine layer. This outcome achieved market consensus because post-event data confirmed the reading with negligible uncertainty, unlike pre-event forecasts that allowed for modest warming from a shifting high-pressure system. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare late revisions in official climatological reports or station-specific anomalies, though historical NWS processes make such shifts highly improbable once preliminary values are published.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$49,609Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a daily maximum of 72–73°F on August 4, 2026, aligning with August climatology of highs near 69–70°F and recent model guidance that kept the Bay Area under a moderating marine layer. This outcome achieved market consensus because post-event data confirmed the reading with negligible uncertainty, unlike pre-event forecasts that allowed for modest warming from a shifting high-pressure system. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare late revisions in official climatological reports or station-specific anomalies, though historical NWS processes make such shifts highly improbable once preliminary values are published.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$49,609Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) recorded a daily maximum of 72–73°F on August 4, 2026, aligning with August climatology of highs near 69–70°F and recent model guidance that kept the Bay Area under a moderating marine layer. This outcome achieved market consensus because post-event data confirmed the reading with negligible uncertainty, unlike pre-event forecasts that allowed for modest warming from a shifting high-pressure system. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare late revisions in official climatological reports or station-specific anomalies, though historical NWS processes make such shifts highly improbable once preliminary values are published.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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