Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 4, locking in the market’s 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome aligns with prevailing atmospheric conditions: a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, combined with light winds that limited mixing and allowed surface heating under seasonal August solar angles. Model guidance from the prior week had already converged on highs in the mid-90s, and post-event verification showed no significant departures from those forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an undetected station malfunction or subsequent data-quality revision, both rare for NWS automated networks, while any unaccounted urban heat-island effects would likely push readings higher rather than into lower bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 4?
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,723 Обс.
$31,723 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F or below <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,723 Обс.
$31,723 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
87°F or below
$383 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$697 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,776 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,592 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$10,929 Обс.
100%
96-97°F
$7,832 Обс.
<1%
98-99°F
$3,959 Обс.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,181 Обс.
<1%
102-103°F
$1,283 Обс.
<1%
104-105°F
$498 Обс.
<1%
106°F or higher
$592 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 4, locking in the market’s 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome aligns with prevailing atmospheric conditions: a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, combined with light winds that limited mixing and allowed surface heating under seasonal August solar angles. Model guidance from the prior week had already converged on highs in the mid-90s, and post-event verification showed no significant departures from those forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an undetected station malfunction or subsequent data-quality revision, both rare for NWS automated networks, while any unaccounted urban heat-island effects would likely push readings higher rather than into lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,723Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 4, locking in the market’s 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome aligns with prevailing atmospheric conditions: a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, combined with light winds that limited mixing and allowed surface heating under seasonal August solar angles. Model guidance from the prior week had already converged on highs in the mid-90s, and post-event verification showed no significant departures from those forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an undetected station malfunction or subsequent data-quality revision, both rare for NWS automated networks, while any unaccounted urban heat-island effects would likely push readings higher rather than into lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,723Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Houston recorded a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 4, locking in the market’s 100% consensus on that bin. This outcome aligns with prevailing atmospheric conditions: a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies, combined with light winds that limited mixing and allowed surface heating under seasonal August solar angles. Model guidance from the prior week had already converged on highs in the mid-90s, and post-event verification showed no significant departures from those forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an undetected station malfunction or subsequent data-quality revision, both rare for NWS automated networks, while any unaccounted urban heat-island effects would likely push readings higher rather than into lower bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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