Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 project a maximum of 25°C under sunny intervals, following a 29°C peak the prior day and aligning with seasonal norms near 23°C. This drives the dominant 52% implied probability for 25°C, as traders weigh model consensus on modest cooling from high pressure and Atlantic influences against minor upside risks to 26°C from localized warming. Lower odds for 24°C or below reflect limited variability in current observations, while probabilities above 27°C remain negligible given the absence of heatwave conditions or forecast revisions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 5?
Highest temperature in London on August 5?
25°C 52%
26°C 34%
24°C 13%
27°C 1.3%
$75,810 Обс.
$75,810 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
13%
25°C
52%
26°C
34%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 52%
26°C 34%
24°C 13%
27°C 1.3%
$75,810 Обс.
$75,810 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
$537 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$2,180 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$5,432 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$9,833 Обс.
1%
24°C
$8,007 Обс.
13%
25°C
$10,967 Обс.
52%
26°C
$8,033 Обс.
34%
27°C
$10,709 Обс.
1%
28°C
$4,429 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,444 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$13,239 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 project a maximum of 25°C under sunny intervals, following a 29°C peak the prior day and aligning with seasonal norms near 23°C. This drives the dominant 52% implied probability for 25°C, as traders weigh model consensus on modest cooling from high pressure and Atlantic influences against minor upside risks to 26°C from localized warming. Lower odds for 24°C or below reflect limited variability in current observations, while probabilities above 27°C remain negligible given the absence of heatwave conditions or forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$75,810Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 project a maximum of 25°C under sunny intervals, following a 29°C peak the prior day and aligning with seasonal norms near 23°C. This drives the dominant 52% implied probability for 25°C, as traders weigh model consensus on modest cooling from high pressure and Atlantic influences against minor upside risks to 26°C from localized warming. Lower odds for 24°C or below reflect limited variability in current observations, while probabilities above 27°C remain negligible given the absence of heatwave conditions or forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$75,810Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office forecasts for London on August 5 project a maximum of 25°C under sunny intervals, following a 29°C peak the prior day and aligning with seasonal norms near 23°C. This drives the dominant 52% implied probability for 25°C, as traders weigh model consensus on modest cooling from high pressure and Atlantic influences against minor upside risks to 26°C from localized warming. Lower odds for 24°C or below reflect limited variability in current observations, while probabilities above 27°C remain negligible given the absence of heatwave conditions or forecast revisions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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