**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5, 2026, heavily favors 34°C or above (combined ~88.5% implied probability) due to official forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 32–36°C (90–96°F).** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, anticipate partly cloudy to hot conditions with highs near or above 34°C amid typical Sichuan Basin summer patterns of high solar insolation, trapped heat from surrounding mountains, and elevated humidity. National yellow high-temperature alerts across China and recent warm anomalies in the region further support the market-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Short-term model consensus points to limited cloud cover early in the day before possible isolated thunderstorms, which could cap extremes but still allow peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius range measured by standard China Meteorological Administration stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5?
35°C or higher 69%
34°C 31%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$37,256 Обс.
$37,256 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
69%
35°C or higher 69%
34°C 31%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$37,256 Обс.
$37,256 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
25°C or below
$409 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$323 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$323 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,851 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,679 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$2,366 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$3,485 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$4,056 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$5,204 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$5,102 Обс.
31%
35°C or higher
$11,457 Обс.
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5, 2026, heavily favors 34°C or above (combined ~88.5% implied probability) due to official forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 32–36°C (90–96°F).** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, anticipate partly cloudy to hot conditions with highs near or above 34°C amid typical Sichuan Basin summer patterns of high solar insolation, trapped heat from surrounding mountains, and elevated humidity. National yellow high-temperature alerts across China and recent warm anomalies in the region further support the market-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Short-term model consensus points to limited cloud cover early in the day before possible isolated thunderstorms, which could cap extremes but still allow peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius range measured by standard China Meteorological Administration stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,256Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5, 2026, heavily favors 34°C or above (combined ~88.5% implied probability) due to official forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 32–36°C (90–96°F).** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, anticipate partly cloudy to hot conditions with highs near or above 34°C amid typical Sichuan Basin summer patterns of high solar insolation, trapped heat from surrounding mountains, and elevated humidity. National yellow high-temperature alerts across China and recent warm anomalies in the region further support the market-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Short-term model consensus points to limited cloud cover early in the day before possible isolated thunderstorms, which could cap extremes but still allow peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius range measured by standard China Meteorological Administration stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,256Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 5, 2026, heavily favors 34°C or above (combined ~88.5% implied probability) due to official forecasts projecting daytime maxima of 32–36°C (90–96°F).** Multiple meteorological sources, including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, anticipate partly cloudy to hot conditions with highs near or above 34°C amid typical Sichuan Basin summer patterns of high solar insolation, trapped heat from surrounding mountains, and elevated humidity. National yellow high-temperature alerts across China and recent warm anomalies in the region further support the market-implied odds for the upper end of the distribution. Short-term model consensus points to limited cloud cover early in the day before possible isolated thunderstorms, which could cap extremes but still allow peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius range measured by standard China Meteorological Administration stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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