Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and WeatherBug point to a daytime high near 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 6, 2026, with thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies likely limiting peak solar heating and supporting the market’s heaviest trading around these levels. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered rainfall, tends to cap maximum temperatures below clear-sky potential, while regional steering patterns keep the area under warm but not extreme subtropical air. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, yet short-term model runs showing slight cooling from precipitation have shifted trader consensus toward the 32°C and 33°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 6?
32°C 38%
33°C 25%
31°C 14%
34°C 11%
НОВЕ
$27,851 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,851 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
38%
33°C
25%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
5%
32°C 38%
33°C 25%
31°C 14%
34°C 11%
НОВЕ
$27,851 Обс.
НОВЕ
$27,851 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
25°C or below
$488 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$373 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$1,138 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$1,343 Обс.
1%
29°C
$1,131 Обс.
3%
30°C
$828 Обс.
7%
31°C
$4,706 Обс.
14%
32°C
$7,191 Обс.
38%
33°C
$5,757 Обс.
25%
34°C
$1,866 Обс.
11%
35°C or higher
$3,030 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and WeatherBug point to a daytime high near 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 6, 2026, with thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies likely limiting peak solar heating and supporting the market’s heaviest trading around these levels. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered rainfall, tends to cap maximum temperatures below clear-sky potential, while regional steering patterns keep the area under warm but not extreme subtropical air. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, yet short-term model runs showing slight cooling from precipitation have shifted trader consensus toward the 32°C and 33°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,851Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and WeatherBug point to a daytime high near 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 6, 2026, with thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies likely limiting peak solar heating and supporting the market’s heaviest trading around these levels. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered rainfall, tends to cap maximum temperatures below clear-sky potential, while regional steering patterns keep the area under warm but not extreme subtropical air. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, yet short-term model runs showing slight cooling from precipitation have shifted trader consensus toward the 32°C and 33°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$27,851Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models such as those referenced by timeanddate and WeatherBug point to a daytime high near 32–33°C in Chengdu on August 6, 2026, with thunderstorms and mostly cloudy skies likely limiting peak solar heating and supporting the market’s heaviest trading around these levels. High humidity typical of the East Asian monsoon season, combined with expected cloud cover and scattered rainfall, tends to cap maximum temperatures below clear-sky potential, while regional steering patterns keep the area under warm but not extreme subtropical air. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide climatological context, yet short-term model runs showing slight cooling from precipitation have shifted trader consensus toward the 32°C and 33°C outcomes as the most probable resolution thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration in the next 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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