Marine layer cooling from the Pacific continues to moderate San Francisco temperatures, aligning with climatological August averages near 69–72°F and supporting the market's heaviest weighting on a 72–73°F high. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate limited ridging influence today, keeping onshore flow intact and capping any inland heat advection, while historical data show rare exceedances above 75°F without strong offshore winds. Model consensus points to peak readings in the low-to-mid 70s, with only modest upside risk if the marine inversion weakens earlier than expected; upcoming afternoon observations and official NWS daily summaries will confirm resolution near these levels.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 5?
72-73°F 51%
74-75°F 21%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 5%
НОВЕ
$23,691 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,691 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
51%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 51%
74-75°F 21%
70-71°F 18%
68-69°F 5%
НОВЕ
$23,691 Обс.
НОВЕ
$23,691 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
65°F or below
$518 Обс.
<1%
66-67°F
$508 Обс.
<1%
68-69°F
$888 Обс.
5%
70-71°F
$1,881 Обс.
18%
72-73°F
$3,910 Обс.
51%
74-75°F
$2,211 Обс.
21%
76-77°F
$1,506 Обс.
5%
78-79°F
$3,808 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$2,575 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,993 Обс.
<1%
84°F or higher
$2,893 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer cooling from the Pacific continues to moderate San Francisco temperatures, aligning with climatological August averages near 69–72°F and supporting the market's heaviest weighting on a 72–73°F high. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate limited ridging influence today, keeping onshore flow intact and capping any inland heat advection, while historical data show rare exceedances above 75°F without strong offshore winds. Model consensus points to peak readings in the low-to-mid 70s, with only modest upside risk if the marine inversion weakens earlier than expected; upcoming afternoon observations and official NWS daily summaries will confirm resolution near these levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,691Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer cooling from the Pacific continues to moderate San Francisco temperatures, aligning with climatological August averages near 69–72°F and supporting the market's heaviest weighting on a 72–73°F high. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate limited ridging influence today, keeping onshore flow intact and capping any inland heat advection, while historical data show rare exceedances above 75°F without strong offshore winds. Model consensus points to peak readings in the low-to-mid 70s, with only modest upside risk if the marine inversion weakens earlier than expected; upcoming afternoon observations and official NWS daily summaries will confirm resolution near these levels.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$23,691Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer cooling from the Pacific continues to moderate San Francisco temperatures, aligning with climatological August averages near 69–72°F and supporting the market's heaviest weighting on a 72–73°F high. Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate limited ridging influence today, keeping onshore flow intact and capping any inland heat advection, while historical data show rare exceedances above 75°F without strong offshore winds. Model consensus points to peak readings in the low-to-mid 70s, with only modest upside risk if the marine inversion weakens earlier than expected; upcoming afternoon observations and official NWS daily summaries will confirm resolution near these levels.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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