Hong Kong's subtropical climate and prevailing summer monsoon patterns typically produce overnight lows near 26°C in early August, with the Hong Kong Observatory's official urban station network recording a verified minimum of 26°C on August 6 under generally fine, light-wind conditions and moderate humidity. This aligns with seasonal baselines from long-term climate data showing average August minima of 25–27°C absent unusual synoptic features like a typhoon or strong cold surge. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C reflects this post-event observational certainty from authoritative meteorological sources. Only an unforeseen data revision from the Observatory or an undetected localized microclimate anomaly could shift the outcome, both considered negligible given standardized measurement protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$64,874 Обс.
$64,874 Обс.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$64,874 Обс.
$64,874 Обс.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical climate and prevailing summer monsoon patterns typically produce overnight lows near 26°C in early August, with the Hong Kong Observatory's official urban station network recording a verified minimum of 26°C on August 6 under generally fine, light-wind conditions and moderate humidity. This aligns with seasonal baselines from long-term climate data showing average August minima of 25–27°C absent unusual synoptic features like a typhoon or strong cold surge. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C reflects this post-event observational certainty from authoritative meteorological sources. Only an unforeseen data revision from the Observatory or an undetected localized microclimate anomaly could shift the outcome, both considered negligible given standardized measurement protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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