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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?

Aug 6

Aug 7

Aug 8

Aug 6

Aug 7

Aug 8

26°C 100.0%

21°C or below <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$64,874 Обс.

26°C 100.0%

21°C or below <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$64,874 Обс.

21°C or below

$402 Обс.

<1%

22°C

$4,341 Обс.

<1%

23°C

$871 Обс.

<1%

24°C

$3,464 Обс.

<1%

25°C

$4,887 Обс.

<1%

26°C

$11,266 Обс.

100%

27°C

$11,377 Обс.

<1%

28°C

$19,810 Обс.

<1%

29°C

$5,244 Обс.

<1%

30°C

$1,667 Обс.

<1%

31°C or higher

$1,545 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical climate and prevailing summer monsoon patterns typically produce overnight lows near 26°C in early August, with the Hong Kong Observatory's official urban station network recording a verified minimum of 26°C on August 6 under generally fine, light-wind conditions and moderate humidity. This aligns with seasonal baselines from long-term climate data showing average August minima of 25–27°C absent unusual synoptic features like a typhoon or strong cold surge. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C reflects this post-event observational certainty from authoritative meteorological sources. Only an unforeseen data revision from the Observatory or an undetected localized microclimate anomaly could shift the outcome, both considered negligible given standardized measurement protocols.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$64,874
Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's subtropical climate and prevailing summer monsoon patterns typically produce overnight lows near 26°C in early August, with the Hong Kong Observatory's official urban station network recording a verified minimum of 26°C on August 6 under generally fine, light-wind conditions and moderate humidity. This aligns with seasonal baselines from long-term climate data showing average August minima of 25–27°C absent unusual synoptic features like a typhoon or strong cold surge. Trader consensus at 100% for 26°C reflects this post-event observational certainty from authoritative meteorological sources. Only an unforeseen data revision from the Observatory or an undetected localized microclimate anomaly could shift the outcome, both considered negligible given standardized measurement protocols.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$64,874
Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «26°C» з 100%, далі «21°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?» згенерував $64.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 4, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?» — «26°C» з 100%. Наступний — «21°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 6?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.