Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS guidance centers the August 6 high near 86–91°F at Central Park, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 86–91°F brackets. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southwest flow and associated warm-air advection versus the degree of afternoon cloud cover, scattered convection, or marine-layer influence that could limit peak heating. Above-average monthly temperature outlooks and building ridging support the upper end of this range, while any earlier moisture or sea-breeze development favors the lower brackets. Updated 12z–00z model runs and local observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on August 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 6?
88-89°F 30%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 30%
90-91°F 30%
86-87°F 24%
84-85°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
$0 Обс.
1%
80-81°F
$53 Обс.
1%
82-83°F
$15 Обс.
3%
84-85°F
$40 Обс.
5%
86-87°F
$5 Обс.
24%
88-89°F
$57 Обс.
30%
90-91°F
$48 Обс.
30%
92-93°F
$34 Обс.
5%
94-95°F
$145 Обс.
2%
96-97°F
$11 Обс.
1%
98°F or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS guidance centers the August 6 high near 86–91°F at Central Park, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 86–91°F brackets. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southwest flow and associated warm-air advection versus the degree of afternoon cloud cover, scattered convection, or marine-layer influence that could limit peak heating. Above-average monthly temperature outlooks and building ridging support the upper end of this range, while any earlier moisture or sea-breeze development favors the lower brackets. Updated 12z–00z model runs and local observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$408Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS guidance centers the August 6 high near 86–91°F at Central Park, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 86–91°F brackets. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southwest flow and associated warm-air advection versus the degree of afternoon cloud cover, scattered convection, or marine-layer influence that could limit peak heating. Above-average monthly temperature outlooks and building ridging support the upper end of this range, while any earlier moisture or sea-breeze development favors the lower brackets. Updated 12z–00z model runs and local observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$408Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from NOAA and NWS guidance centers the August 6 high near 86–91°F at Central Park, driving the tight clustering of market probabilities across the 86–91°F brackets. Key differentiating factors include the strength of southwest flow and associated warm-air advection versus the degree of afternoon cloud cover, scattered convection, or marine-layer influence that could limit peak heating. Above-average monthly temperature outlooks and building ridging support the upper end of this range, while any earlier moisture or sea-breeze development favors the lower brackets. Updated 12z–00z model runs and local observations will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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