Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 4?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 4?
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$15,004 Обс.
$15,004 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$15,004 Обс.
$15,004 Обс.
Aug 4, 2026
59°F or below
$469 Обс.
No
60-61°F
$409 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$810 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$1,126 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$1,334 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$3,074 Обс.
No
70-71°F
$1,560 Обс.
Yes
72-73°F
$3,055 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$1,965 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$778 Обс.
No
78°F or higher
$424 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,004Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,004Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official observations from LaGuardia Airport and nearby stations recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F overnight into August 4, 2026, driving the market’s overwhelming 99% implied probability for that bin. This aligns with National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance showing warm, humid conditions with lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with above-average August temperatures across the Northeast. Historical baselines place typical NYC August minima near 68–72°F, and no significant frontal passages or cooling events altered the pattern. Resolution hinges on the official daily low reported by Weather Underground at the designated station; minor station-to-station variances or post-midnight drops remain the only realistic paths to a different outcome, though current data render those scenarios improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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