Latest meteorological model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely peak between 32–33 °C amid ongoing warm-air advection under high pressure, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological service guidance expected before market resolution will clarify whether marginal cooling or additional warming tips the balance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 6?
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
14%
32°C
31%
33°C
36%
34°C
12%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
31°C 14%
34°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
29°C or below
$641 Обс.
2%
30°C
$278 Обс.
3%
31°C
$998 Обс.
14%
32°C
$443 Обс.
31%
33°C
$3,287 Обс.
36%
34°C
$932 Обс.
12%
35°C
$800 Обс.
5%
36°C
$98 Обс.
1%
37°C
$279 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$179 Обс.
<1%
39°C or higher
$353 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely peak between 32–33 °C amid ongoing warm-air advection under high pressure, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological service guidance expected before market resolution will clarify whether marginal cooling or additional warming tips the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,217Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely peak between 32–33 °C amid ongoing warm-air advection under high pressure, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological service guidance expected before market resolution will clarify whether marginal cooling or additional warming tips the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,217Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological model consensus from European and global ensembles indicates Warsaw's August 6 maximum will likely peak between 32–33 °C amid ongoing warm-air advection under high pressure, with limited diurnal cloud cover and light winds allowing strong solar heating. Minor forecast spreads arise from differences in predicted convective timing and boundary-layer mixing, which could shave or add 1 °C. Historical August maxima near 30 °C provide baseline context, yet current conditions favor the upper end of that range. Updated model runs and official Polish meteorological service guidance expected before market resolution will clarify whether marginal cooling or additional warming tips the balance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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