Current short-range forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with Istanbul expected to reach a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 6 amid light winds and limited cloud cover. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, moderating daytime peaks while the urban heat-island effect and downslope flow from surrounding terrain add localized warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping probabilities of 30 °C or higher below 5 percent and colder outcomes equally unlikely. Updated runs through early August have shown little deviation from long-term climatology, anchoring trader consensus around these central outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 6?
28°C 52%
29°C 23%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
52%
29°C
23%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 52%
29°C 23%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 6, 2026
22°C or below
$397 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$439 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$172 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$58 Обс.
1%
26°C
$106 Обс.
5%
27°C
$294 Обс.
20%
28°C
$865 Обс.
52%
29°C
$218 Обс.
23%
30°C
$72 Обс.
3%
31°C
$96 Обс.
1%
32°C or higher
$58 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with Istanbul expected to reach a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 6 amid light winds and limited cloud cover. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, moderating daytime peaks while the urban heat-island effect and downslope flow from surrounding terrain add localized warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping probabilities of 30 °C or higher below 5 percent and colder outcomes equally unlikely. Updated runs through early August have shown little deviation from long-term climatology, anchoring trader consensus around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,774Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with Istanbul expected to reach a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 6 amid light winds and limited cloud cover. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, moderating daytime peaks while the urban heat-island effect and downslope flow from surrounding terrain add localized warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping probabilities of 30 °C or higher below 5 percent and colder outcomes equally unlikely. Updated runs through early August have shown little deviation from long-term climatology, anchoring trader consensus around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,774Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with Istanbul expected to reach a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 6 amid light winds and limited cloud cover. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, moderating daytime peaks while the urban heat-island effect and downslope flow from surrounding terrain add localized warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping probabilities of 30 °C or higher below 5 percent and colder outcomes equally unlikely. Updated runs through early August have shown little deviation from long-term climatology, anchoring trader consensus around these central outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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