Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasters point to a Moscow daily maximum near 28°C on August 5, shaped by moderate southerly advection, clear to partly cloudy skies, and peak summer insolation with minimal precipitation expected. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (59.5%) and 28°C (20.5%), while the spread to 26°C reflects typical model spread and observational uncertainty in official station readings. Recent runs show stable high pressure without heat-wave amplification, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes low at under 3% combined. Updated afternoon observations and final verification will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 5?
27°C 61%
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
29°C 3%
$14,066 Обс.
$14,066 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
20%
27°C
61%
28°C
21%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 61%
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
29°C 3%
$14,066 Обс.
$14,066 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
23°C or below
$1,359 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$418 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$631 Обс.
1%
26°C
$931 Обс.
20%
27°C
$1,946 Обс.
61%
28°C
$1,740 Обс.
21%
29°C
$1,037 Обс.
3%
30°C
$265 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$808 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$2,953 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,978 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasters point to a Moscow daily maximum near 28°C on August 5, shaped by moderate southerly advection, clear to partly cloudy skies, and peak summer insolation with minimal precipitation expected. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (59.5%) and 28°C (20.5%), while the spread to 26°C reflects typical model spread and observational uncertainty in official station readings. Recent runs show stable high pressure without heat-wave amplification, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes low at under 3% combined. Updated afternoon observations and final verification will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,066Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasters point to a Moscow daily maximum near 28°C on August 5, shaped by moderate southerly advection, clear to partly cloudy skies, and peak summer insolation with minimal precipitation expected. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (59.5%) and 28°C (20.5%), while the spread to 26°C reflects typical model spread and observational uncertainty in official station readings. Recent runs show stable high pressure without heat-wave amplification, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes low at under 3% combined. Updated afternoon observations and final verification will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$14,066Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including ECMWF and regional forecasters point to a Moscow daily maximum near 28°C on August 5, shaped by moderate southerly advection, clear to partly cloudy skies, and peak summer insolation with minimal precipitation expected. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (59.5%) and 28°C (20.5%), while the spread to 26°C reflects typical model spread and observational uncertainty in official station readings. Recent runs show stable high pressure without heat-wave amplification, keeping probabilities for 29°C+ or sub-26°C outcomes low at under 3% combined. Updated afternoon observations and final verification will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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