Recent forecasts from the KNMI and European models indicate moderating temperatures for Amsterdam on August 6, with a high near 20–22°C driven by a westerly breeze advecting cooler North Sea air following the early-August heatwave that produced 28–36°C readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for further warming under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, keeping the daily maximum within the narrow 19–23°C band that accounts for over 95% of market-implied probability. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide climatological context, while resolution depends on official KNMI observations at the main station. Updated model runs and the final observation tomorrow will determine the exact outcome among the clustered leading contracts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 6?
21°C 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 21%
19°C 4%
НОВЕ
$19,101 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,101 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
21%
21°C
42%
22°C
31%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 21%
19°C 4%
НОВЕ
$19,101 Обс.
НОВЕ
$19,101 Обс.
Aug 6, 2026
17°C or below
$859 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$1,538 Обс.
1%
19°C
$1,773 Обс.
4%
20°C
$3,804 Обс.
21%
21°C
$2,103 Обс.
42%
22°C
$3,471 Обс.
31%
23°C
$1,520 Обс.
2%
24°C
$1,252 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$935 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$523 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$1,323 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the KNMI and European models indicate moderating temperatures for Amsterdam on August 6, with a high near 20–22°C driven by a westerly breeze advecting cooler North Sea air following the early-August heatwave that produced 28–36°C readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for further warming under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, keeping the daily maximum within the narrow 19–23°C band that accounts for over 95% of market-implied probability. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide climatological context, while resolution depends on official KNMI observations at the main station. Updated model runs and the final observation tomorrow will determine the exact outcome among the clustered leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,101Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the KNMI and European models indicate moderating temperatures for Amsterdam on August 6, with a high near 20–22°C driven by a westerly breeze advecting cooler North Sea air following the early-August heatwave that produced 28–36°C readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for further warming under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, keeping the daily maximum within the narrow 19–23°C band that accounts for over 95% of market-implied probability. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide climatological context, while resolution depends on official KNMI observations at the main station. Updated model runs and the final observation tomorrow will determine the exact outcome among the clustered leading contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$19,101Дата завершення
Aug 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the KNMI and European models indicate moderating temperatures for Amsterdam on August 6, with a high near 20–22°C driven by a westerly breeze advecting cooler North Sea air following the early-August heatwave that produced 28–36°C readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited potential for further warming under partly cloudy conditions with moderate winds, keeping the daily maximum within the narrow 19–23°C band that accounts for over 95% of market-implied probability. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide climatological context, while resolution depends on official KNMI observations at the main station. Updated model runs and the final observation tomorrow will determine the exact outcome among the clustered leading contracts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання