Recent model consensus from European meteorological agencies, including Met Office and KNMI guidance, points to a maximum of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following the early-August European heatwave. This transition after peak temperatures near 32–33°C on prior days supports the market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 25°C (52.5%) and 26°C (29%), with 24°C (18%) reflecting residual uncertainty from local factors such as variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects. Short-range forecasts show minimal model divergence, and final KNMI station observations will determine resolution within the typical ±1–2°C range for such events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 5?
25°C 53%
26°C 25%
24°C 18%
23°C 2.1%
$37,096 Обс.
$37,096 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
18%
25°C
53%
26°C
25%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 53%
26°C 25%
24°C 18%
23°C 2.1%
$37,096 Обс.
$37,096 Обс.
Aug 5, 2026
20°C or below
$2,749 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$2,639 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$1,959 Обс.
1%
23°C
$7,090 Обс.
2%
24°C
$5,832 Обс.
18%
25°C
$5,537 Обс.
53%
26°C
$5,213 Обс.
25%
27°C
$1,791 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$964 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$566 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,756 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European meteorological agencies, including Met Office and KNMI guidance, points to a maximum of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following the early-August European heatwave. This transition after peak temperatures near 32–33°C on prior days supports the market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 25°C (52.5%) and 26°C (29%), with 24°C (18%) reflecting residual uncertainty from local factors such as variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects. Short-range forecasts show minimal model divergence, and final KNMI station observations will determine resolution within the typical ±1–2°C range for such events.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,096Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from European meteorological agencies, including Met Office and KNMI guidance, points to a maximum of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following the early-August European heatwave. This transition after peak temperatures near 32–33°C on prior days supports the market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 25°C (52.5%) and 26°C (29%), with 24°C (18%) reflecting residual uncertainty from local factors such as variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects. Short-range forecasts show minimal model divergence, and final KNMI station observations will determine resolution within the typical ±1–2°C range for such events.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,096Дата завершення
Aug 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European meteorological agencies, including Met Office and KNMI guidance, points to a maximum of 25°C in Amsterdam on August 5 under moderating high pressure and a shift to cooler northerly flow following the early-August European heatwave. This transition after peak temperatures near 32–33°C on prior days supports the market-implied probabilities clustering tightly around 25°C (52.5%) and 26°C (29%), with 24°C (18%) reflecting residual uncertainty from local factors such as variable cloud cover and urban heat island effects. Short-range forecasts show minimal model divergence, and final KNMI station observations will determine resolution within the typical ±1–2°C range for such events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання