Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs point to overnight minimum temperatures of 16–17°C in London for August 11, with high pressure favoring mostly clear skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling. Elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK, part of an ongoing marine heatwave, limit heat loss after sunset and support the narrow spread between these leading outcomes. Historical August nocturnal averages sit near 13–15°C, but this summer’s persistent warmth has raised baselines, keeping trader consensus tightly focused on the upper end of typical ranges while allowing room for small forecast adjustments from cloud or humidity variations in final updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on August 11?
Lowest temperature in London on August 11?
17°C 40%
16°C 35%
18°C 12%
15°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
10%
16°C
35%
17°C
40%
18°C
12%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 35%
18°C 12%
15°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
12°C or below
$36 Обс.
1%
13°C
$33 Обс.
1%
14°C
$33 Обс.
2%
15°C
$56 Обс.
10%
16°C
$1,316 Обс.
35%
17°C
$1,265 Обс.
40%
18°C
$82 Обс.
12%
19°C
$33 Обс.
2%
20°C
$33 Обс.
2%
21°C
$56 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$71 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs point to overnight minimum temperatures of 16–17°C in London for August 11, with high pressure favoring mostly clear skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling. Elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK, part of an ongoing marine heatwave, limit heat loss after sunset and support the narrow spread between these leading outcomes. Historical August nocturnal averages sit near 13–15°C, but this summer’s persistent warmth has raised baselines, keeping trader consensus tightly focused on the upper end of typical ranges while allowing room for small forecast adjustments from cloud or humidity variations in final updates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,014Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs point to overnight minimum temperatures of 16–17°C in London for August 11, with high pressure favoring mostly clear skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling. Elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK, part of an ongoing marine heatwave, limit heat loss after sunset and support the narrow spread between these leading outcomes. Historical August nocturnal averages sit near 13–15°C, but this summer’s persistent warmth has raised baselines, keeping trader consensus tightly focused on the upper end of typical ranges while allowing room for small forecast adjustments from cloud or humidity variations in final updates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,014Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model runs point to overnight minimum temperatures of 16–17°C in London for August 11, with high pressure favoring mostly clear skies and light winds that permit moderate radiative cooling. Elevated sea-surface temperatures around the UK, part of an ongoing marine heatwave, limit heat loss after sunset and support the narrow spread between these leading outcomes. Historical August nocturnal averages sit near 13–15°C, but this summer’s persistent warmth has raised baselines, keeping trader consensus tightly focused on the upper end of typical ranges while allowing room for small forecast adjustments from cloud or humidity variations in final updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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