Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and AEMET point to peak Madrid temperatures of 35–37°C on August 9 under a dominant high-pressure regime with clear skies and weak winds, favoring strong daytime solar heating in the city's continental climate. Persistent hot air advection from North Africa, combined with Madrid's urban heat island effect and dry August soils, has sustained elevated readings following multiple 2026 heatwaves, though subtle model consensus shows modest moderation from early-August peaks near 38–40°C. These dynamics align with historical August averages near 32–34°C while accounting for variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and intensity for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 9?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 9?
36°C 45%
37°C 21%
35°C 16%
38°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
16%
36°C
45%
37°C
21%
38°C
7%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
2%
36°C 45%
37°C 21%
35°C 16%
38°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
32°C or below
$12 Обс.
2%
33°C
$39 Обс.
1%
34°C
$1 Обс.
6%
35°C
$5 Обс.
16%
36°C
$61 Обс.
45%
37°C
$0 Обс.
21%
38°C
$6 Обс.
7%
39°C
$18 Обс.
1%
40°C
$18 Обс.
2%
41°C
$12 Обс.
2%
42°C or higher
$12 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and AEMET point to peak Madrid temperatures of 35–37°C on August 9 under a dominant high-pressure regime with clear skies and weak winds, favoring strong daytime solar heating in the city's continental climate. Persistent hot air advection from North Africa, combined with Madrid's urban heat island effect and dry August soils, has sustained elevated readings following multiple 2026 heatwaves, though subtle model consensus shows modest moderation from early-August peaks near 38–40°C. These dynamics align with historical August averages near 32–34°C while accounting for variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and intensity for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$184Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and AEMET point to peak Madrid temperatures of 35–37°C on August 9 under a dominant high-pressure regime with clear skies and weak winds, favoring strong daytime solar heating in the city's continental climate. Persistent hot air advection from North Africa, combined with Madrid's urban heat island effect and dry August soils, has sustained elevated readings following multiple 2026 heatwaves, though subtle model consensus shows modest moderation from early-August peaks near 38–40°C. These dynamics align with historical August averages near 32–34°C while accounting for variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and intensity for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$184Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including ECMWF and AEMET point to peak Madrid temperatures of 35–37°C on August 9 under a dominant high-pressure regime with clear skies and weak winds, favoring strong daytime solar heating in the city's continental climate. Persistent hot air advection from North Africa, combined with Madrid's urban heat island effect and dry August soils, has sustained elevated readings following multiple 2026 heatwaves, though subtle model consensus shows modest moderation from early-August peaks near 38–40°C. These dynamics align with historical August averages near 32–34°C while accounting for variability in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing that could shift outcomes by 1–2°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine landfall timing and intensity for traders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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