Persistent subtropical high pressure over the region is sustaining elevated overnight minimum temperatures near 28–30°C in Hong Kong, limiting radiative cooling through high humidity and variable cloud cover. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and model consensus show stable conditions without incoming cold fronts or significant tropical activity through August 11, aligning with climatological norms for late summer where urban heat retention and moist air masses typically keep lows in this narrow range. Trader consensus on the 29°C outcome at 42.5% reflects these steady atmospheric patterns, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could differentiate between the closely matched 28°C and 30°C buckets. Updated guidance expected from monitoring agencies will clarify any adjustments ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
29°C 44%
30°C 33%
28°C 21%
27°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
21%
29°C
44%
30°C
33%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
30°C 33%
28°C 21%
27°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
$179 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$243 Обс.
1%
26°C
$522 Обс.
2%
27°C
$306 Обс.
4%
28°C
$510 Обс.
21%
29°C
$1,682 Обс.
44%
30°C
$1,023 Обс.
33%
31°C
$607 Обс.
2%
32°C
$227 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$264 Обс.
<1%
34°C or higher
$341 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure over the region is sustaining elevated overnight minimum temperatures near 28–30°C in Hong Kong, limiting radiative cooling through high humidity and variable cloud cover. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and model consensus show stable conditions without incoming cold fronts or significant tropical activity through August 11, aligning with climatological norms for late summer where urban heat retention and moist air masses typically keep lows in this narrow range. Trader consensus on the 29°C outcome at 42.5% reflects these steady atmospheric patterns, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could differentiate between the closely matched 28°C and 30°C buckets. Updated guidance expected from monitoring agencies will clarify any adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,904Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure over the region is sustaining elevated overnight minimum temperatures near 28–30°C in Hong Kong, limiting radiative cooling through high humidity and variable cloud cover. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and model consensus show stable conditions without incoming cold fronts or significant tropical activity through August 11, aligning with climatological norms for late summer where urban heat retention and moist air masses typically keep lows in this narrow range. Trader consensus on the 29°C outcome at 42.5% reflects these steady atmospheric patterns, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could differentiate between the closely matched 28°C and 30°C buckets. Updated guidance expected from monitoring agencies will clarify any adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$5,904Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure over the region is sustaining elevated overnight minimum temperatures near 28–30°C in Hong Kong, limiting radiative cooling through high humidity and variable cloud cover. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and model consensus show stable conditions without incoming cold fronts or significant tropical activity through August 11, aligning with climatological norms for late summer where urban heat retention and moist air masses typically keep lows in this narrow range. Trader consensus on the 29°C outcome at 42.5% reflects these steady atmospheric patterns, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could differentiate between the closely matched 28°C and 30°C buckets. Updated guidance expected from monitoring agencies will clarify any adjustments ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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