**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers on a high near 99–100 °F for Dallas on August 9, 2026, under continued sunny, southwesterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation.** This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (98–99 °F at 36.5 % and 100–101 °F at 39.0 %), with the slight edge to the higher bin reflecting the latest NWS point forecast of “near 100” and ensemble guidance that keeps readings at or above 99 °F. Persistent mid-summer ridging and above-average soil dryness have sustained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas for weeks, limiting any cooling mechanism that could drop the maximum below 98 °F. The modest 15 % probability assigned to 102–103 °F accounts for the small but non-zero chance that a warmer model run or delayed sea-breeze influence could add 1–2 °F. With the event less than 24 hours away, further model updates and afternoon observations will determine which of the two leading bins resolves the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 9?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 9?
100-101°F 39%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
39%
102-103°F
15%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 39%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 15%
96-97°F 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 9, 2026
93°F or below
$10 Обс.
<1%
94-95°F
$27 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$905 Обс.
5%
98-99°F
$266 Обс.
37%
100-101°F
$124 Обс.
39%
102-103°F
$62 Обс.
15%
104-105°F
$178 Обс.
4%
106-107°F
$103 Обс.
1%
108-109°F
$46 Обс.
<1%
110-111°F
$38 Обс.
<1%
112°F or higher
$434 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers on a high near 99–100 °F for Dallas on August 9, 2026, under continued sunny, southwesterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation.**
This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (98–99 °F at 36.5 % and 100–101 °F at 39.0 %), with the slight edge to the higher bin reflecting the latest NWS point forecast of “near 100” and ensemble guidance that keeps readings at or above 99 °F. Persistent mid-summer ridging and above-average soil dryness have sustained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas for weeks, limiting any cooling mechanism that could drop the maximum below 98 °F.
The modest 15 % probability assigned to 102–103 °F accounts for the small but non-zero chance that a warmer model run or delayed sea-breeze influence could add 1–2 °F. With the event less than 24 hours away, further model updates and afternoon observations will determine which of the two leading bins resolves the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,193Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers on a high near 99–100 °F for Dallas on August 9, 2026, under continued sunny, southwesterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation.**
This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (98–99 °F at 36.5 % and 100–101 °F at 39.0 %), with the slight edge to the higher bin reflecting the latest NWS point forecast of “near 100” and ensemble guidance that keeps readings at or above 99 °F. Persistent mid-summer ridging and above-average soil dryness have sustained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas for weeks, limiting any cooling mechanism that could drop the maximum below 98 °F.
The modest 15 % probability assigned to 102–103 °F accounts for the small but non-zero chance that a warmer model run or delayed sea-breeze influence could add 1–2 °F. With the event less than 24 hours away, further model updates and afternoon observations will determine which of the two leading bins resolves the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,193Дата завершення
Aug 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models centers on a high near 99–100 °F for Dallas on August 9, 2026, under continued sunny, southwesterly flow with minimal cloud cover or precipitation.** This places the outcome squarely between the two leading market bins (98–99 °F at 36.5 % and 100–101 °F at 39.0 %), with the slight edge to the higher bin reflecting the latest NWS point forecast of “near 100” and ensemble guidance that keeps readings at or above 99 °F. Persistent mid-summer ridging and above-average soil dryness have sustained triple-digit heat indices across North Texas for weeks, limiting any cooling mechanism that could drop the maximum below 98 °F. The modest 15 % probability assigned to 102–103 °F accounts for the small but non-zero chance that a warmer model run or delayed sea-breeze influence could add 1–2 °F. With the event less than 24 hours away, further model updates and afternoon observations will determine which of the two leading bins resolves the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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